Toyota GR Corolla
Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 1k mi example, ~$36.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 37 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±12%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 2023 · 28k mi | $24.0K–$52.9K | $37.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-22 | 2023 · 1k mi | $27.8K–$61.1K | $47.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-22 | 2023 · 21k mi | $23.7K–$52.1K | $30.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-14 | 2023 · 11k mi | $23.3K–$51.3K | $36.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | 2024 · 5k mi | $25.5K–$56.1K | $38.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | 2024 · 9k mi | $23.5K–$51.8K | $33.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | 2024 · 9k mi | $19.5K–$62.7K | $33.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-06 | 2023 · 0k mi | $23.0K–$73.8K | $51.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2023 · 19k mi | classic | $22.0K–$61.7K ($36.8K) |
| open | 2024 · 40k mi | classic | $21.4K–$60.0K ($35.8K) |
| open | 2024 | C&B | $22.0K–$61.8K ($36.9K) |
| open | 2023 · 36k mi | classic | $21.4K–$60.0K ($35.8K) |
| open | 2023 · 65k mi | classic | $18.6K–$52.2K ($31.1K) |
| open | 2023 · 0k mi | classic | $26.0K–$71.9K ($43.2K) |
| open | 2023 · 2k mi | classic | $24.3K–$67.3K ($40.5K) |
| open | 2024 · 21k mi | classic | $22.0K–$60.8K ($36.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 56% | Low | 17% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 58% | Low | — |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 61% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-03 → today (3.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,938 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,900 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,938 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.