Dodge Dart
Flagged undervalued because -24% vs 2-yr avg, -24% vs 3-yr trend, asking -9% vs historic sold, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 56 yr, 44k mi example, ~$22.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 123 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±34%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 163 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±42%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | 1973 · 0k mi | $19.9K–$62.7K | $11.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-17 | 1973 · 70k mi | $13.6K–$42.9K | $18.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-11 | 1969 · 81k mi | $10.5K–$32.9K | $16.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | 1962 · 93k mi | $8.7K–$27.3K | $13.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-27 | 1966 · 24k mi | $16.9K–$53.0K | $24.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | 1973 · 76k mi | $12.3K–$38.6K | $9.4K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-21 | 1973 · 81k mi | $10.9K–$34.4K | $9.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-11 | 1974 · 92k mi | $9.1K–$28.7K | $15.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1973 · 18k mi | ebay | $12.5K–$59.0K ($27.2K) |
| open | 1970 | ebay | $10.7K–$50.2K ($23.1K) |
| open | 1973 · 18k mi | ebay | $12.5K–$59.0K ($27.2K) |
| open | 1969 · 1k mi | ebay | $15.3K–$72.2K ($33.3K) |
| open | 1963 · 1k mi | ebay | $15.1K–$71.2K ($32.8K) |
| open | 1975 · 58k mi | ebay | $11.4K–$53.5K ($24.7K) |
| open | 1969 · 1k mi | ebay | $17.0K–$80.1K ($36.9K) |
| open | 1973 · 18k mi | ebay | $12.9K–$60.8K ($28.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 66% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 59% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 20 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2011
$100K invested 2011-07 → today (15.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.42). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 53 | 36 | 56 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 49 | 41 | 29 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 32 | 82 | 37 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 33 | 86 | 63 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 42 | 42 | 37 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 59 | 36 | 52 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 53 | 51 | 46 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 50 | 47 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,997 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.3)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,997 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.1)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,997 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,997 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.