Cadillac CTS-V (2nd Gen)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and asking -5% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 13 yr, 50k mi example, ~$38.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 55% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 75 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±23%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 259 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±22%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 2009 · 94k mi | $21.6K–$48.2K | $31.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | 2014 · 10k mi | $30.8K–$68.8K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-27 | 2013 · 22k mi | $30.1K–$67.2K | $38.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-18 | 2011 · 103k mi | $20.4K–$45.6K | $28.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 2014 · 4k mi | $38.4K–$85.8K | $62.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 2014 · 57k mi | $23.8K–$53.2K | $33.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | 2012 · 61k mi | $22.9K–$51.1K | $31.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-15 | 2012 · 19k mi | $30.5K–$68.2K | $117K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2015 | C&B | $22.6K–$64.8K ($38.3K) |
| open | 2014 · 80k mi | ebay | $19.1K–$53.8K ($32.0K) |
| open | 2012 · 16k mi | classic | $25.3K–$71.5K ($42.6K) |
| open | 2012 · 34k mi | classic | $24.5K–$69.1K ($41.1K) |
| open | 2011 | classic | $23.4K–$66.0K ($39.3K) |
| open | 2011 · 66k mi | classic | $19.4K–$54.8K ($32.6K) |
| open | 2015 · 77k mi | classic | $19.3K–$54.4K ($32.4K) |
| open | 2012 · 88k mi | classic | $19.2K–$54.1K ($32.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 56% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 48% | Low | 55% |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 56% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 51% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 10Y-2Y Yield Spread and Silver, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-05 → today (13.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 44 | 44 | 57 |
| Nissan 350Z | 55 | 53 | 53 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 51 | 9 | 56 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 46 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 50 | 49 | 39 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 66 | 29 | 48 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 47 | 47 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 19 | 42 | 41 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-4.3)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-15,800 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.