Cadillac CTS-V (2nd Gen)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, asking -2% vs historic sold, -21% vs 2-yr avg, and -21% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 13 yr, 44k mi example, ~$39.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 36% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 53 scored forecasts: 36% got the direction right, median value error ±36%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 243 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±23%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | 2012 · 19k mi | $28.3K–$62.6K | $117K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-05 | 2010 · 9k mi | $30.3K–$67.0K | $42.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-26 | 2010 · 13k mi | $28.5K–$63.0K | $42.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2012 · 89k mi | $21.9K–$48.4K | $27.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-23 | 2012 · 26k mi | $27.7K–$61.4K | $37.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-17 | 2011 · 82k mi | $21.9K–$48.4K | $41.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 2015 · 31k mi | $27.5K–$60.9K | $40.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-02 | 2012 · 81k mi | $21.9K–$48.4K | $29.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2011 · 103k mi | BaT | $18.0K–$51.1K ($30.3K) |
| open | 2014 · 80k mi | ebay | $19.8K–$56.0K ($33.3K) |
| open | 2014 · 80k mi | ebay | $19.1K–$53.8K ($32.0K) |
| open | 2012 · 15k mi | classic | $25.3K–$71.5K ($42.6K) |
| open | 2012 · 16k mi | classic | $25.3K–$71.5K ($42.6K) |
| open | 2012 · 34k mi | classic | $24.5K–$69.1K ($41.1K) |
| open | 2013 · 41k mi | classic | $23.7K–$66.8K ($39.8K) |
| open | 2011 | classic | $23.4K–$66.0K ($39.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 36% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 37% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Bitcoin (USD) has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-05 → today (13.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.68). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 17 | 68 | 61 |
| Nissan 350Z | 43 | 68 | 50 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 29 | 55 | 57 |
| Nissan 370Z | 50 | 45 | 50 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 54 | 40 | 45 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 58 | 45 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 44 | 37 | 36 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 17 | 38 | 30 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,250 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,250 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$12,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.