Cadillac CTS-V (1st Gen)
Flagged undervalued because asking -17% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 19 yr, 59k mi example, ~$21.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 58% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 19 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±18%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 46 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±16%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | 2005 · 6k mi | $17.7K–$38.9K | $28.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-19 | 2005 · 6k mi | $13.1K–$42.0K | $28.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | 2005 · 19k mi | $14.7K–$32.5K | $27.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-09 | 2005 · 86k mi | $10.2K–$22.5K | $16.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-27 | 2005 · 37k mi | $12.8K–$28.2K | $23.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-20 | 2004 · 93k mi | $8.8K–$28.2K | $11.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-20 | 2004 · 93k mi | $8.7K–$19.2K | $11.0K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-30 | 2006 · 34k mi | $12.8K–$28.1K | $24.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2004 · 85k mi | ebay | $10.6K–$29.6K ($17.7K) |
| open | 2004 · 39k mi | ebay | $14.1K–$39.5K ($23.6K) |
| open | 2004 · 39k mi | ebay | $14.1K–$39.6K ($23.6K) |
| open | 2004 · 39k mi | ebay | $14.0K–$39.4K ($23.5K) |
| open | 2004 · 39k mi | ebay | $14.1K–$39.5K ($23.6K) |
| open | 2005 · 45k mi | classic | $13.0K–$36.6K ($21.8K) |
| open | 2004 · 39k mi | ebay | $14.1K–$39.1K ($23.5K) |
| open | 2005 · 235k mi | classic | $6.9K–$19.2K ($11.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 60% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 58% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 71% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Dow Jones Industrial has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2017
$100K invested 2017-01 → today (9.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.72). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$20,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$20,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.