Blended value of a standard 1 yr, 1k mi example, ~$88.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 2 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2024 · 13k mi
ebay
$42.6K–$197K ($91.5K)
open
2024 · 13k mi
ebay
$41.6K–$192K ($89.4K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
—
12 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
—
24 mo
FLAT
50%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2024
$100K invested 2024-01 → today (2.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $62.6K━ S&P 500 $159K━ Gold $204K━ Luxury $75.6K━ Housing $106K₿ Bitcoin $144K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray roughly 0.6×'d your money (a real 42% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 61% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-41%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +8mo
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +6mo
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ Bitcoin (USD), shifted +16mo
VIX Volatility Index leads by about 23 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ VIX Volatility Index, shifted +23mo
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +8mo
Silver leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ Silver, shifted +7mo
Gold (futures) leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Corvette C8 E-Ray┄ Gold (futures), shifted +18mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
32
Undervaluation
24
Liquidity
33
Speculation Opportunity
27
Depreciation Risk
63
Overvaluation
62
sell-through 33%sell through rate
asking +42% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
inventory +1%inventory trend slope
sale prices -0.5%/momedian sale trend slope
32% relistedlisting reappearance rate
new-listing velocity 2% of activenew listing velocity
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,208 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,208 vs prior
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,208 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.