Chevrolet Corvette C7
Flagged undervalued because asking -7% vs historic sold, -37% vs 2-yr avg, and -35% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 8 yr, 14k mi example, ~$57.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 49% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 73 scored forecasts: 49% got the direction right, median value error ±20%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 200 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±16%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | 2019 · 3k mi | $46.1K–$102K | $235K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-09 | 2017 · 17k mi | $37.2K–$82.3K | $54.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2019 · 7k mi | $46.2K–$102K | $276K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-27 | 2019 · 3k mi | $51.0K–$113K | $165K | ✗ |
| 2026-06-23 | 2016 · 19k mi | $30.4K–$97.6K | $45.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-04 | 2018 · 71k mi | $28.0K–$61.9K | $48.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-27 | 2019 · 5k mi | $53.3K–$118K | $156K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-27 | 2019 · 5k mi | $38.8K–$109K | $156K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2014 · 11k mi | classic | $35.6K–$100K ($59.7K) |
| open | 2016 · 13k mi | classic | $34.7K–$97.9K ($58.3K) |
| open | 2015 · 24k mi | classic | $31.2K–$88.0K ($52.4K) |
| open | 2014 · 29k mi | classic | $29.6K–$83.5K ($49.7K) |
| open | 2016 · 43k mi | classic | $26.7K–$75.4K ($44.9K) |
| open | 2018 · 19k mi | classic | $32.7K–$92.2K ($54.9K) |
| open | 2017 · 41k mi | classic | $27.1K–$76.4K ($45.5K) |
| open | 2015 · 42k mi | classic | $26.8K–$75.5K ($45.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 52% |
| 12 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 49% |
| 24 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 46% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 50% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nasdaq Composite and 10-Year Treasury Yield, though Nasdaq Composite points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2015
$100K invested 2015-10 → today (10.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 27 | 59 | 48 |
| Nissan 350Z | 42 | 66 | 48 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 48 | 67 | 50 |
| Nissan 370Z | 54 | 48 | 55 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 53 | 42 | 44 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 34 | 60 | 41 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 45 | 55 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 27 | 53 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$14,995 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.9)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$114,995 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,183 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.