Chevrolet Corvette C5
Flagged undervalued because -19% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 23 yr, 36k mi example, ~$19.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 47% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 136 scored forecasts: 47% got the direction right, median value error ±25%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 770 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | 1997 · 5k mi | $20.1K–$44.3K | $23.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 1999 · 32k mi | $13.5K–$29.7K | $25.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 1999 · 45k mi | $12.3K–$27.1K | $23.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-24 | 2003 · 14k mi | $16.1K–$35.5K | $22.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-22 | 1998 · 118k mi | $7.8K–$17.2K | $10.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1997 · 13k mi | $16.4K–$36.0K | $17.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-17 | 2002 · 73k mi | $10.2K–$22.5K | $13.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-16 | 1997 · 40k mi | $12.8K–$28.1K | $18.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2001 · 14k mi | classic | $14.4K–$40.4K ($24.1K) |
| open | 1999 · 14k mi | ebay | $14.3K–$40.1K ($24.0K) |
| open | 1999 · 32k mi | classic | $11.9K–$33.4K ($19.9K) |
| open | 2003 · 47k mi | classic | $10.8K–$30.3K ($18.1K) |
| open | 2000 · 53k mi | classic | $10.4K–$29.3K ($17.5K) |
| open | 2004 · 56k mi | hemmings | $10.2K–$28.8K ($17.2K) |
| open | 2002 · 110k mi | ebay | $7.1K–$20.1K ($12.0K) |
| open | 2000 · 153k mi | ebay | $6.4K–$18.1K ($10.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 47% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 45% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 7 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and Personal Savings Rate.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2008
$100K invested 2008-03 → today (18.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 30 | 47 | 47 |
| Nissan 350Z | 41 | 64 | 45 |
| Nissan 350Z NISMO | 45 | 64 | 19 |
| Nissan 370Z | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 56 | 45 | 46 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 36 | 63 | 42 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 54 | 47 | 54 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman GT4 | 22 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,537 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=27.9)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,537 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$6,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.