Chevrolet Impala SS (LT1, 1994-1996)

CHEVROLET IMPALA SS 1994 1996 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$29.2K ▲ $4.0K (+15.9%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEAsks running above recent sales — but volatile.
Well supported · 78 sold + 127 active
Fair value$29.2K ($25.7K–$32.7K)
Typical ask$29.0K
Recent sold$24.6K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 48% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($25k), not asking prices ($29k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$22.9Ksells fast
Fair$24.6Krecent comps
List$26.4Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$33.3Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $25.7K · Fair $25.7K–$32.7K · careful above $35.0K

This outlook for the Chevrolet Impala SS (LT1, 1994-1996) market is low-confidence due to thin data. The market exhibits low appreciation momentum (29.28) and liquidity (29.88), with depreciation risk at 63.23. Forecasts signal a volatile market with a slightly upward direction, indicated by probabilities of 0.53 at 6 months and 0.56 at 24 months, with the Case-Shiller National Home Price serving as a strong leading indicator with a 0.9 correlation over 14 months.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 29 yr, 29k mi example, ~$29.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2011-06 2026-07 $37.0K $1.7K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 305 confirmed sales (305 auction)·562 sales tracked·176 months tracked·since 2011-06·162 active listings

Did our model work? 48% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 88 scored forecasts: 48% got the direction right, median value error ±58%.

2008-07 2026-07 $316K $2.6K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 141 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-06-25 1995 $15.2K–$61.6K $11.2K
2026-06-25 1995 · 86k mi $11.8K–$38.5K $10.5K
2026-06-18 1996 $14.4K–$60.8K $26.8K
2026-06-18 1996 · 52k mi $14.1K–$46.0K $25.0K
2026-06-17 1995 · 88k mi $11.7K–$38.1K $13.3K
2026-06-09 1996 · 91k mi $11.5K–$37.5K $15.5K
2026-06-03 1996 · 44k mi $14.7K–$47.9K $30.0K
2026-06-03 1996 · 44k mi $12.4K–$57.3K $30.0K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1994 · 106k mi classic $8.4K–$39.1K ($18.2K)
open 1995 · 22k mi classic $14.7K–$68.2K ($31.7K)
open 1996 · 127k mi classic $6.8K–$31.5K ($14.6K)
open 1996 · 11k mi classic $16.4K–$75.7K ($35.2K)
open 1996 · 70k mi classic $11.6K–$47.0K ($23.4K)
open 1996 · 72k mi classic $11.5K–$46.5K ($23.1K)
open 1995 BaT $15.2K–$61.6K ($30.6K)
open 1996 · 73k mi classic $11.4K–$46.1K ($22.9K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2011-06 now +24mo $25938K $1.6K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 53% Low 54%
12 mo UP 54% Low 48%
24 mo UP 56% Low 61%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2011

$100K invested 2011-06 → today (15.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$158K$735K$273K$599K$232K 2011 2026 933 100
━ This car $158K━ S&P 500 $735K━ Gold $273K━ Luxury $599K━ Housing $232K
Roughly tracked inflation — flat in real terms. The Chevrolet Impala SS (LT1, 1994-1996) roughly 1.6×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.1× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 79% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-32%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet Impala SS (LT1, 1994-1996) ┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +14mo
2011-06 2026-07

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
26
Undervaluation
46
Liquidity
32
Speculation Opportunity
33
Depreciation Risk
66
Overvaluation
42
sell-through 86% sell through rate
-70% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
-70% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
-64% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices -2.7%/mo median sale trend slope
27% relisted listing reappearance rate
8% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings162
Median fair value$21,152
Avg deal score51/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.