Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen
The Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen market exhibits moderate appreciation momentum at 43.7 and a depreciation risk of 51.19, with liquidity at 44.61. Forecasts, supported by a confidence score of 0.935, indicate high volatility across all horizons, showing a 0.49 probability of an 'up' direction in 6 months, a 0.5 probability of 'down' in 12 months, and a 0.5 probability of 'flat' in 24 months. The High-Yield Bond Spread is identified as the strongest leading indicator, with a 0.59 correlation over a 6-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 6 yr, 7k mi example, ~$30.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 67% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 49 scored forecasts: 67% got the direction right, median value error ±20%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 73 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±26%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2019 · 61k mi | $13.7K–$43.3K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | 2024 · 0k mi | $31.2K–$98.4K | $162K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | 2024 · 1k mi | $26.9K–$84.9K | $93.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | 2017 · 1k mi | $26.8K–$84.5K | $55.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | 2020 · 8k mi | $18.8K–$59.3K | $48.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | 2019 · 34k mi | $14.0K–$44.0K | $41.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-18 | 2017 · 42k mi | $13.6K–$42.8K | $22.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-16 | 2022 · 7k mi | $19.1K–$60.1K | $45.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2024 · 8k mi | ebay | $14.1K–$66.8K ($30.7K) |
| open | 2021 · 42k mi | ebay | $10.1K–$48.1K ($22.1K) |
| open | 2024 · 1k mi | ebay | $22.1K–$105K ($48.1K) |
| open | 2016 · 24k mi | ebay | $11.9K–$56.5K ($26.0K) |
| open | 2017 · 39k mi | ebay | $10.1K–$47.9K ($22.0K) |
| open | 2022 · 74k mi | ebay | $9.6K–$45.4K ($20.8K) |
| open | 2017 | C&B | $14.1K–$66.7K ($30.6K) |
| open | 2018 | C&B | $14.1K–$66.7K ($30.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 69% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 67% |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 54% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2018
$100K invested 2018-01 → today (8.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.50). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 54 | 41 | 49 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 48 | 49 | 34 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 52 | 66 | 42 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 61 | 85 | 57 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 14 | 82 | 39 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 59 | 39 | 45 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 51 | 54 | 40 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 50 | 47 | 39 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=4.0)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,938 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,729 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=4.0)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,938 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.