Chevrolet Camaro 6th Gen
Flagged undervalued because asking -57% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 4 yr, 4k mi example, ~$45.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 69% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 69% got the direction right, median value error ±13%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 196 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±23%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | 2018 · 3k mi | $29.7K–$87.3K | $68.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | 2018 · 35k mi | $17.6K–$51.7K | $50.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-20 | 2018 · 11k mi | $24.3K–$71.2K | $62.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-19 | 2018 · 11k mi | $24.2K–$71.2K | $64.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-18 | 2023 · 5k mi | $28.5K–$83.7K | $62.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-06 | 2024 · 0k mi | $38.3K–$112K | $117K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-01 | 2019 · 21k mi | $23.5K–$68.9K | $57.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-28 | 2022 · 5k mi | $30.3K–$88.8K | $76.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2019 · 37k mi | classic | $13.6K–$57.7K ($28.0K) |
| open | 2018 · 37k mi | ebay | $13.6K–$57.7K ($28.0K) |
| open | 2018 · 123k mi | ebay | $11.7K–$49.4K ($24.0K) |
| open | 2017 · 17k mi | classic | $19.5K–$82.4K ($40.1K) |
| open | 2018 · 27k mi | classic | $16.4K–$69.6K ($33.8K) |
| open | 2019 · 34k mi | classic | $14.4K–$60.9K ($29.6K) |
| open | 2017 · 48k mi | classic | $13.8K–$58.5K ($28.4K) |
| open | 2017 · 2k mi | ebay | $24.6K–$104K ($50.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 50% | Low | 71% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 69% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 47% | Low | 48% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 2% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by High-Yield Bond Spread and U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment, though U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2017
$100K invested 2017-05 → today (9.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 51 | 61 | 30 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 15 | 75 | 29 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 31 | 53 | 16 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 7 | 67 | 3 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 31 | 35 | 31 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 46 | 30 | 31 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 37 | 34 | 27 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 | 45 | 21 | 22 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,004 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,504 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$7,865 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-10,263 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.