Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation, 1993-2002)
The Chevrolet Camaro (4th Generation) market outlook indicates a slight upward direction with probabilities ranging from 0.51 to 0.54 over 6, 12, and 24 months, though within a volatile regime. Appreciation momentum stands at 34.94 and depreciation risk is 73.32, with liquidity at 17.71. The strongest leading indicator for this market is LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), showing a correlation of 0.75 and leading by 1 month.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 26 yr, 29k mi example, ~$17.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 52% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 130 scored forecasts: 52% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 562 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | 2002 · 1k mi | $17.8K–$58.1K | $31.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2002 · 13k mi | $11.3K–$36.8K | $19.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2002 · 84k mi | $5.7K–$18.5K | $12.1K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 1994 · 2k mi | $14.9K–$48.8K | $39.2K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | 2002 · 6k mi | $12.5K–$41.0K | $23.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-08 | 2002 | $8.7K–$37.0K | $29.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-08 | 2002 · 3k mi | $13.9K–$45.4K | $27.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-08 | 2002 · 33k mi | $9.5K–$31.1K | $18.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1994 · 52k mi | classic | $6.3K–$28.9K ($13.5K) |
| open | 1996 · 90k mi | classic | $4.4K–$20.3K ($9.5K) |
| open | 2002 · 19k mi | ebay | $8.9K–$41.2K ($19.1K) |
| open | 1999 · 37k mi | classic | $7.4K–$34.5K ($16.0K) |
| open | 1995 · 39k mi | classic | $7.3K–$33.7K ($15.6K) |
| open | 1995 · 4k mi | ebay | $11.6K–$53.7K ($24.9K) |
| open | 1994 · 14k mi | ebay | $9.7K–$44.9K ($20.9K) |
| open | 1994 | hagerty | $8.5K–$39.6K ($18.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 63% |
| 12 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 52% |
| 24 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 51% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevrolet Camaro Z28 (5th Gen) | 46 | 61 | 35 |
| Ford Mustang Fox Body SVT Cobra | 33 | 69 | 28 |
| Plymouth Barracuda | 43 | 70 | 26 |
| Plymouth Barracuda 'Cuda | 45 | 90 | 26 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) SS | 23 | 29 | 2 |
| Chevrolet Camaro (2nd Generation, 1970-1981) Z28 | 28 | 40 | 26 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen | 45 | 37 | 26 |
| Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen IROC-Z | 38 | 34 | 21 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,400 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,010 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.