The market for the Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 signals a slight upward trajectory over 6, 12, and 24 months, with probabilities of 0.52, 0.53, and 0.54 respectively, all within a volatile regime. Key scores include appreciation momentum at 51.22, depreciation risk at 57.41, and liquidity at 41.65. Real Disposable Income per Capita stands out as the strongest leading indicator, showing a correlation of 0.8 with a 21-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 40 yr, 33k mi example, ~$19.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 370 confirmed auction sales·177 months tracked·since 2012-01·14 active listings
Did our model work? 58% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 85 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±46%.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
52%
Low
56%
12 mo
UP
53%
Low
58%
24 mo
UP
54%
Low
53%
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $250K━ S&P 500 $761K━ Gold $254K━ Luxury $641K━ Housing $251K
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28 roughly 2.5×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.7× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 67% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (+0%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.78). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +21mo
M2 Money Supply leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ M2 Money Supply, shifted +0mo
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +7mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +2mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +4mo
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +5mo
Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY), shifted +14mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 14 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.74). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Camaro 3rd Gen Z28┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +14mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
57
Undervaluation
44
Liquidity
41
Speculation Opportunity
47
Depreciation Risk
56
Overvaluation
54
asking +24% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.