Porsche 968
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 31 yr, 84k mi example, ~$20.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 51% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 37 scored forecasts: 51% got the direction right, median value error ±24%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 241 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±32%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | 1994 · 48k mi | $15.9K–$38.3K | $18.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | 1993 · 159k mi | $8.4K–$20.2K | $10.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | 1993 · 150k mi | $8.6K–$20.8K | $8.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-04-27 | 1994 · 88k mi | $13.3K–$32.2K | $17.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-13 | 1993 · 63k mi | $14.2K–$45.5K | $17.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-13 | 1993 · 63k mi | $16.6K–$40.1K | $17.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-11 | 1995 · 74k mi | $15.2K–$36.8K | $23.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-09 | 1995 · 60k mi | $16.5K–$39.9K | $32.0K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1993 · 5k mi | ebay | $22.4K–$71.9K ($40.2K) |
| open | 1995 · 46k mi | classic | $13.6K–$43.8K ($24.4K) |
| open | 1994 · 33k mi | classic | $14.7K–$47.1K ($26.3K) |
| open | 1993 · 43k mi | classic | $13.5K–$43.4K ($24.2K) |
| open | 1994 · 88k mi | classic | $11.3K–$36.4K ($20.3K) |
| open | 1994 · 206k mi | classic | $6.5K–$20.9K ($11.6K) |
| open | 1994 · 67k mi | classic | $14.0K–$45.0K ($25.1K) |
| open | 1995 · 93k mi | classic | $10.9K–$35.1K ($19.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 63% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 55% | Low | 51% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 56% | Low | 40% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 7 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-01 → today (13.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.47). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW 1M Coupe (E82) | 50 | 34 | 49 |
| Nissan 350Z | 47 | 60 | 48 |
| Nissan 370Z | 52 | 56 | 56 |
| Alfa Romeo 4C | 58 | 35 | 49 |
| Fiat 500 (2012-2019) | 35 | 33 | 39 |
| Porsche 718 Boxster/Cayman | 63 | 46 | 54 |
| Porsche 911 (964) | 44 | 43 | 45 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo (964) | 26 | 75 | 22 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$2,881 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$2,881 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.