Jaguar XKR
Flagged undervalued because -42% vs 2-yr avg, and -46% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 23 yr, 59k mi example, ~$15.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 52% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 88 scored forecasts: 52% got the direction right, median value error ±26%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 224 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±27%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | 1999 · 71k mi | $8.2K–$22.1K | $9.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-07 | 2006 · 84k mi | $7.3K–$19.5K | $18.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-01 | 1999 · 112k mi | $5.9K–$15.9K | $9.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-28 | 2004 · 84k mi | $7.2K–$19.4K | $12.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-24 | 2005 · 60k mi | $9.1K–$24.6K | $25.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | 2003 · 90k mi | $6.8K–$18.4K | $4.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-03 | 2003 · 52k mi | $9.9K–$26.6K | $20.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | 1999 · 95k mi | $6.6K–$17.9K | $6.4K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2006 · 56k mi | classic | $8.3K–$29.9K ($15.8K) |
| open | 2006 · 38k mi | ebay | $9.9K–$35.3K ($18.7K) |
| open | 2006 · 38k mi | ebay | $9.8K–$35.3K ($18.6K) |
| open | 2006 · 62k mi | BaT | $7.6K–$27.4K ($14.4K) |
| open | 2000 · 62k mi | ebay | $7.7K–$27.4K ($14.5K) |
| open | 2000 · 50k mi | classic | $8.7K–$31.1K ($16.4K) |
| open | 2006 · 63k mi | BaT | $7.5K–$27.0K ($14.3K) |
| open | 2000 · 69k mi | classic | $7.1K–$25.4K ($13.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 55% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 52% |
| 24 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 49% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Ethereum (USD) has historically led it by about 1 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2012
$100K invested 2012-01 → today (14.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Ethereum (USD) leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin DB4 | 76 | 55 | 61 |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 68 | 63 | 50 |
| Buick Riviera | 39 | 44 | 24 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 51 | 71 | 41 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 38 | 44 | 47 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$2,996 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.