Mercedes-Benz CL-Class

CL CLASS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$20.1K ▼ $76.6K (−79.2%)12 mo
BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Insufficient comps · 3 sold comps
Fair value$20.1K ($17.7K–$22.5K)
Typical ask$15.0K
Recent sold$286K
Current valueInsufficient
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 22% calls right
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here; comparable sales are limited — price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.

For the Mercedes-Benz CL-Class market, this is a low-confidence read due to thin data. The market shows an appreciation momentum of 70.54 alongside an overvaluation score of 68.08, while liquidity is low at 36.2. Forecasts indicate a flat direction across 6, 12, and 24 months, each with a 0.5 probability.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 11 yr, 7k mi example, ~$20.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2009-03 2026-08 $861K $0
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 36 confirmed sales (36 auction)·38 sales tracked·198 months tracked·since 2009-03·1290 active listings

Did our model work? 22% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 9 scored forecasts: 22% got the direction right, median value error ±2524%.

2008-03 2026-08 $19180780274740K $119K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2012 · 50k mi ebay $10.6K–$38.0K ($20.1K)
open 2012 · 52k mi classic $5.6K–$20.2K ($10.6K)
open 2012 · 78k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)
open 2011 · 152k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)
open 2009 · 40k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)
open 2008 · 110k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)
open 2006 · 75k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)
open 2003 · 45k mi classic $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low 67%
12 mo FLAT 50% Low 22%
24 mo FLAT 50% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. 10Y-2Y Yield Spread has historically led it by about 17 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$20.6K now +17mo 2009-03 $315K $16.0K
BECAUSE 10Y-2Y Yield Spread rose 50%. THEREFORE, given its usual 17-month head start, we lean UP — about +2% (≈ +$467) over the next 17 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.84, 21 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2009

$100K invested 2009-03 → today (17.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$97.5K$1302K$484K$1867K$229K 2009 2026 2960 100
━ This car $97.5K━ S&P 500 $1302K━ Gold $484K━ Luxury $1867K━ Housing $229K
Lost ground to inflation. The Mercedes-Benz CL-Class roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 38% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 93% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-57%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

10Y-2Y Yield Spread leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Mercedes-Benz CL-Class ┄ 10Y-2Y Yield Spread, shifted +17mo
2009-03 2026-08

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
43
Undervaluation
72
Liquidity
37
Speculation Opportunity
54
Depreciation Risk
57
Overvaluation
45
-100% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
-100% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
asking trend +0.1%/mo median asking trend slope
sale prices -0.0%/mo median sale trend slope
89 days on market median days on market
25% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
8% relisted listing reappearance rate

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings1290
Median fair value$36,273
Avg deal score55/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Aston Martin Lagonda 1374
Aston Martin Lagonda Volante 7241
Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) 636959
Buick Riviera 535344
Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class 686642
Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011) 505347

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.