Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3)
Given the 'thin' data state, this market read for Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) is low-confidence. While liquidity registers at 60.49 and appreciation momentum is 59.02, the 6-month outlook currently signals a 0.52 probability of a 'down' direction in a volatile regime. The strongest leading indicator identified is WTI Crude Oil, showing a -0.86 correlation with a 1-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 65 yr, 37k mi example, ~$145K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 68% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 96 scored forecasts: 68% got the direction right, median value error ±68%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 3 in 10
We replayed 38 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±62%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 3 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 1956 · 47k mi | $123K–$328K | $951K | ✗ |
| 2026-03-07 | 1961 · 29k mi | $143K–$381K | $115K | ✗ |
| 2025-11-01 | 1964 · 44k mi | $105K–$279K | $74.0K | ✗ |
| 2025-09-25 | 1960 · 98k mi | $53.2K–$189K | $275K | ✗ |
| 2025-09-25 | 1960 · 98k mi | $95.3K–$254K | $275K | ✗ |
| 2025-09-16 | 1959 · 9k mi | $150K–$399K | $275K | ✓ |
| 2025-09-16 | 1959 · 9k mi | $97.9K–$347K | $275K | ✓ |
| 2025-08-16 | 1958 · 35k mi | $84.8K–$226K | $1105K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1962 · 22k mi | classic | $68.7K–$247K ($130K) |
| open | 1961 · 146k mi | classic | $42.6K–$151K ($80.3K) |
| open | 1958 · 2k mi | classic | $130K–$459K ($244K) |
| open | 1960 · 72k mi | classic | $46.3K–$164K ($87.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 66% |
| 12 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 68% |
| 24 mo | UP | 47% | Low | 67% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 3 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 38% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and 10-Year Treasury Yield, though 10-Year Treasury Yield points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2003
$100K invested 2003-08 → today (23.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.59). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin Lagonda | 56 | 45 | 54 |
| Aston Martin Lagonda Volante | 73 | 34 | 54 |
| Aston Martin DB4 | 60 | 66 | 63 |
| Aston Martin DB5 | 23 | 53 | — |
| Buick Riviera | 49 | 59 | 53 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 70 | 38 | 37 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 59 | 45 | 42 |
| Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011) | 52 | 49 | 46 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-13.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=17.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-13.3)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=17.8)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-13.3)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=17.8)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.