Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Willys

WRANGLER JL 2018 WILLYS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$28.8K ▼ $2.0K (−6.4%)12 mo
WATCHSupported but limited value — but volatile.
Ask-supported · 6 sold + 2033 active (asks-led)
Fair value$28.8K ($25.4K–$32.3K)
Typical ask$28.0K
Recent sold$34.2K
Current valueModerate
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($34k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($34k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$25.4Ksells fast
Fair$34.2Krecent comps
List$36.6Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$39.7Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $25.4K · Fair $25.4K–$32.3K · careful above $33.1K

Flagged undervalued because asking -10% vs historic sold.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 4 yr, 23k mi example, ~$28.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2024-11 2026-09 $42.0K $20.2K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 8 confirmed auction sales·23 months tracked·since 2024-11·3345 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2023 · 20k mi classic $15.6K–$60.5K ($30.8K)
open 2024 · 21k mi classic $15.6K–$60.2K ($30.6K)
open 2024 · 17k mi classic $16.0K–$61.5K ($31.4K)
open 2022 · 42k mi classic $13.2K–$49.7K ($25.6K)
open 2024 · 10k mi classic $16.0K–$60.4K ($31.1K)
open 2024 · 30k mi classic $14.5K–$54.6K ($28.1K)
open 2018 classic $14.3K–$54.1K ($27.9K)
open 2023 · 21k mi classic $15.3K–$57.7K ($29.7K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2024-11 now +24mo $58.4K $5.2K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 46% Low —
12 mo FLAT 50% Low —
24 mo DOWN 56% Low —

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2024

$100K invested 2024-11 → today (1.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$94.0K$131K$164K$82.7K$104K 2024 2026 197 100
━ This car $94.0K━ S&P 500 $131K━ Gold $164K━ Luxury $82.7K━ Housing $104K₿ Bitcoin $80.5K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Willys roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 11% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 28% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-10%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
24
Undervaluation
40
Liquidity
40
Speculation Opportunity
30
Depreciation Risk
67
Overvaluation
40
sell-through 16% sell through rate
asking -10% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
inventory -0% inventory trend slope
sale prices -1.8%/mo median sale trend slope
asking trend -0.0%/mo median asking trend slope
new-listing velocity 10% of active new listing velocity
40 days on market median days on market

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings3345
Median fair value$34,052
Avg deal score49/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Rubicon 392 493739
Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) 4xe 352542
Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Rubicon 482938
Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Sahara 463338

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.