Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Sahara
Flagged undervalued because asking -6% vs historic sold.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 5 yr, 32k mi example, ~$29.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 37 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±13%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 2022 · 7k mi | $22.2K–$63.8K | $40.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | 2022 · 16k mi | $18.1K–$52.1K | $34.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-30 | 2022 · 27k mi | $16.7K–$47.9K | $29.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-29 | 2021 · 26k mi | $16.7K–$48.0K | $26.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-28 | 2021 · 43k mi | $16.2K–$46.6K | $31.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-27 | 2021 · 83k mi | $14.2K–$40.9K | $28.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-26 | 2019 · 35k mi | $16.6K–$47.5K | $28.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-25 | 2020 · 66k mi | $15.3K–$43.9K | $26.9K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2025 · 21k mi | classic | $15.8K–$59.6K ($30.7K) |
| open | 2021 · 24k mi | classic | $15.5K–$58.5K ($30.1K) |
| open | 2023 · 11k mi | classic | $17.4K–$65.8K ($33.9K) |
| open | 2024 · 13k mi | classic | $16.5K–$62.4K ($32.1K) |
| open | 2022 · 17k mi | classic | $16.1K–$60.6K ($31.2K) |
| open | 2025 · 26k mi | classic | $15.5K–$58.6K ($30.2K) |
| open | 2025 · 4k mi | classic | $20.5K–$77.2K ($39.7K) |
| open | 2025 · 12k mi | classic | $16.7K–$63.2K ($32.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 75% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | — |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | — |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Housing Starts has historically led it by about 3 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-05 → today (4.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Housing Starts leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Rubicon 392 | 52 | 51 | 50 |
| Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) 4xe | 50 | 54 | 14 |
| Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Rubicon | 29 | 73 | 47 |
| Jeep Wrangler JL (2018+) Willys | 50 | 43 | 51 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,003 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,710 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,443 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,477 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.