Mercedes-Benz W124

W124 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$20.3K 12 mo
UNDERVALUEDUndervalued vs trend · direction not yet callable.
Well supported · 158 sold + 107 active
Fair value$20.3K ($7.5K–$22.7K)
Typical ask$8.0K
Recent sold$38.4K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendNot yet callable
Buyer: Prices look low vs trend — a reasonable entry; confirm condition and title.
Seller: Buyers here are value-focused; price near sold comps ($38k) for a timely sale.
Watcher: Value is well supported; 12-month trend not yet callable — worth a watch.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$7.5Ksells fast
Fair$38.4Krecent comps
List$41.1Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$44.5Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $7.5K · Fair $7.5K–$22.7K · careful above $23.4K

Flagged undervalued because asking -79% vs historic sold, and sell-through 100%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 33 yr, 107k mi example, ~$20.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2026-02 2026-08 $40.6K $4.4K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 159 confirmed sales (114 auction · 45 other)·7 months tracked·since 2026-02·304 active listings

Auction Scorecard live

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1997 · 167k mi ebay $6.5K–$35.1K ($15.1K)
open 1997 · 167k mi ebay $6.5K–$35.0K ($15.1K)
open 1995 · 158k mi ebay $8.1K–$43.3K ($18.7K)
open 1995 · 87k mi ebay $8.1K–$43.3K ($18.7K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Forecast pendingWe need ~12 months of history to model where this market is headed.
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo FLAT 50% Low
12 mo FLAT 50% Low
24 mo FLAT 50% Low

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Economic Drivers

We map every market against ~35 economic indicators — equities, rates, luxury demand, credit, housing — to find what leads its prices. This market needs a bit more confirmed sold history before those signals are reliable; it will appear automatically as data accrues.

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
54
Undervaluation
72
Liquidity
53
Speculation Opportunity
61
Depreciation Risk
55
Overvaluation
28
asking -79% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
sell-through 100% sell through rate
inventory +0% inventory trend slope
sale prices +0.5%/mo median sale trend slope
31% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
new-listing velocity 7% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings304
Median fair value$23,826
Avg deal score55/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.