Ferrari 328

328 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY

$117K ▲ $17.0K (+17.1%)12 mo

BUYER ADVANTAGEAsks running above recent sales · momentum improving — but volatile.

Fair value$117K ($103K–$131K)

Typical ask$148K

Recent sold$117K

12-mo outlookSlightly up · 6-in-10 up

ConfidenceHigh · 50% calls right

Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($117k), not asking prices ($148k).

Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, but average cars may sit.

Watcher: Improving but choppy — interesting, not a clean breakout yet.

💰 Pricing your car to sell

Quick sale$103Ksells fast

Fair$117Krecent comps

List$125Kroom to negotiate

Stretch$158Kexceptional

🎯 Buying guide

Strong deal below $103K · Fair $103K–$131K · careful above $166K

Flagged undervalued because -37% vs 2-yr avg, -33% vs 3-yr trend, and sell-through 100%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 37 yr, 25k mi example, ~$117K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)

◫ 400 confirmed sales·139 months tracked·since 2014-09·79 active listings

Did our model work? 50% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 56 scored forecasts: 50% got the direction right, median value error ±32%.

━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10

We replayed 216 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

Sold	Car	Our range	Hammer
2026-05-26	1989 · 47k mi	$51.8K–$185K	$116K	✓
2026-05-19	1986 · 74k mi	$56.6K–$202K	$106K	✓
2026-05-12	1987 · 58k mi	$53.6K–$191K	$92.5K	✓
2026-04-07	1986 · 21k mi	$66.4K–$237K	$133K	✓
2026-03-31	1987 · 37k mi	$50.6K–$181K	$125K	✓
2026-03-22	1986 · 24k mi	$62.2K–$222K	$81.5K	✓
2026-03-10	1988 · 9k mi	$78.2K–$280K	$140K	✓
2026-03-07	1989 · 35k mi	$52.2K–$186K	$134K	✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

Closes	Car	Source	Our predicted range
open	1989 · 29k mi	classic	$48.1K–$255K ($111K)
open	1987 · 16k mi	classic	$59.3K–$314K ($136K)
open	1989	BaT	$51.9K–$275K ($119K)
open	1986 · 12k mi	classic	$62.4K–$330K ($144K)
open	1987 · 36k mi	classic	$43.1K–$228K ($99.1K)
open	1989 · 33k mi	classic	$45.3K–$240K ($104K)
open	1986 · 50k mi	classic	$43.3K–$229K ($99.6K)
open	1986 · 27k mi	classic	$49.6K–$263K ($114K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Horizon	Direction	Probability	Confidence	Past accuracy
6 mo	UP	53%	Low	50%
12 mo	UP	56%	Low	50%
24 mo	UP	59%	Low	55%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2014

$100K invested 2014-09 → today (11.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

━ This car $231K━ S&P 500 $470K━ Gold $375K━ Luxury $594K━ Housing $197K₿ Bitcoin ×165 (off-scale)

Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Ferrari 328 roughly 2.3×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.6× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 51% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It beat housing (+17%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)

What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Ferrari 328 ┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +3mo

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum

Undervaluation

Liquidity

Speculation Opportunity

Depreciation Risk

Overvaluation

-37% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo

-33% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo

sell-through 100% sell through rate

-37% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo

sale prices +0.0%/mo median sale trend slope

51% relisted listing reappearance rate

105 days on market median days on market

new-listing velocity 0% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings79

Median fair value$124,257

Avg deal score50/100

Comparable Markets

Market	Undervaluation	Appreciation	Liquidity
Mercedes-Benz 190SL	35	44	46
BMW 2002 tii	53	41	35
Datsun 240Z	38	54	45
Datsun 280Z	32	56	56
Ferrari 308	46	40	41
Ferrari 308 GT4	41	61	23
Porsche 356 Carrera	1	40	23

Recent Signals & Alerts

vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior