Ferrari 328
The Ferrari 328 market shows an appreciation momentum of 52.77 alongside a depreciation risk of 44.56. Current signals indicate a 47% probability of a downward, volatile trend over the next six months. However, the outlook shifts to an upward, volatile trend with probabilities of 54% at 12 months and 56% at 24 months, strongly correlated at 0.89 with the S&P 500, which leads by 7 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 37 yr, 28k mi example, ~$122K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 103 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±30%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 231 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 1989 · 9k mi | $83.7K–$308K | $201K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | 1988 · 26k mi | $65.1K–$240K | $111K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-14 | 1989 · 28k mi | $63.0K–$232K | $103K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | 1989 · 33k mi | $57.0K–$210K | $115K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | 1987 · 50k mi | $52.7K–$194K | $135K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | 1987 · 37k mi | $52.1K–$192K | $95.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-20 | 1988 · 37k mi | $52.4K–$193K | $127K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-19 | 1989 · 27k mi | $62.2K–$229K | $140K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1986 · 78k mi | BaT | $46.5K–$254K ($109K) |
| open | 1986 · 42k mi | BaT | $45.9K–$251K ($107K) |
| open | 1986 · 12k mi | classic | $62.4K–$330K ($144K) |
| open | 1987 · 36k mi | classic | $43.1K–$228K ($99.1K) |
| open | 1986 · 42k mi | classic | $42.1K–$223K ($96.8K) |
| open | 1987 · 25k mi | classic | $51.2K–$271K ($118K) |
| open | 1988 · 53k mi | classic | $43.7K–$231K ($101K) |
| open | 1986 · 37k mi | classic | $42.9K–$227K ($98.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 48% | Low | 64% |
| 12 mo | UP | 54% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 73% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 75% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Effective Fed Funds Rate and Silver, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2010
$100K invested 2010-06 → today (16.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
S&P 500 leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 86 | 21 | 27 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 52 | 42 | 53 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 49 | 36 | 12 |
| Datsun 240Z | 48 | 64 | 35 |
| Datsun 280Z | 61 | 28 | 51 |
| Ferrari 308 | 45 | 55 | 44 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 55 | 48 | 11 |
| Porsche 356 Carrera | 57 | 12 | 60 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-79,189 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$17,011 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-79,189 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-79,189 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$19,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.