Chevrolet 150/210/Bel Air (Tri-Five)

TRI 5 CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$54.9K ▼ $4.4K (−7.4%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEPriced above trend — but volatile.
Well supported · 386 sold + 859 active
Fair value$54.9K ($48.3K–$61.4K)
Typical ask$68.0K
Recent sold$54.4K
Current valueHigh
12-mo trendRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up · 58% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($54k), not asking prices ($68k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$48.3Ksells fast
Fair$54.4Krecent comps
List$58.3Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$73.5Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $48.3K · Fair $48.3K–$61.4K · careful above $95.0K

Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 69 yr, 6k mi example, ~$54.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2004-01 2026-09 $193K $10.4K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 3292 confirmed sales (3288 auction · 4 other)·273 months tracked·since 2004-01·4212 active listings

Did our model work? 58% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 165 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±22%.

2003-08 2026-09 $62.9K $8.3K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10

We replayed 661 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±39%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-09-26 1957 · 8k mi $24.0K–$129K $162K ✗
2026-09-21 1957 · 0k mi $41.3K–$152K $180K ✗
2026-09-18 1957 · 23k mi $27.4K–$101K $74.5K ✓
2026-09-18 1955 · 70k mi $21.0K–$76.9K $23.5K ✓
2026-09-15 1956 · 6k mi $29.6K–$109K $34.5K ✓
2026-09-11 1957 · 32k mi $25.3K–$92.7K $99.0K ✗
2026-09-11 1957 · 2k mi $33.6K–$123K $40.3K ✓
2026-09-10 1955 · 2k mi $34.1K–$125K $38.0K ✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 1956 · 0k mi ebay $33.1K–$180K ($77.1K)
open 1956 · 1k mi ebay $30.3K–$165K ($70.7K)
open 1955 · 2k mi ebay $27.3K–$148K ($63.6K)
open 1956 · 5k mi ebay $24.8K–$135K ($57.7K)
open 1955 · 6k mi ebay $24.1K–$131K ($56.1K)
open 1957 BaT $23.5K–$128K ($54.9K)
open 1957 · 40k mi ebay $19.4K–$105K ($45.2K)
open 1957 · 0k mi ebay $33.1K–$180K ($77.1K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2004-01 now +24mo $381K $8.1K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 49% Low 66%
12 mo DOWN 48% Low 58%
24 mo FLAT 50% Low 59%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2004

$100K invested 2004-01 → today (22.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$133K$239K 2004 2026 239 100
━ This car $133K━ Housing $239K
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet 150/210/Bel Air (Tri-Five) roughly 1.3×'d your money (a real 26% LOSS to inflation). It trailed housing (-45%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Nasdaq Composite leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Chevrolet 150/210/Bel Air (Tri-Five) ┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +19mo
2006-06 2026-09

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
61
Undervaluation
38
Liquidity
44
Speculation Opportunity
45
Depreciation Risk
53
Overvaluation
68
asking +42% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
+23% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
+27% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
+21% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
asking trend +0.1%/mo median asking trend slope
sell-through 68% sell through rate
101 days on market median days on market
new-listing velocity 8% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings4212
Median fair value$39,767
Avg deal score50/100

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Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.