BUILDINGStill gathering enough sold history to call this market.
Insufficient comps · 3 sold comps
Fair value$14.0K ($12.4K–$15.7K)
Typical ask$8.0K
Recent sold$8.0K
Current valueInsufficient
12-mo trendSlightly up · 6-in-10 up
Buyer: Too few confirmed sales to anchor a fair price — treat the number as a rough guide.
Seller: Thin sold history here; comparable sales are limited — price conservatively.
Watcher: Not enough confirmed sales yet — worth a watch as data accrues.
Flagged undervalued because inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 38 yr, 82k mi example, ~$14.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 2 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1986 · 65k mi
classic
$4.6K–$24.3K ($10.6K)
open
1986 · 60k mi
classic
$4.6K–$24.2K ($10.5K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
57%
Low
100%
12 mo
UP
60%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
65%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-10 → today (5.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $199K━ S&P 500 $182K━ Gold $236K━ Luxury $65.2K━ Housing $123K₿ Bitcoin $141K (off-scale)
A solid investment that beat the market. The Toyota Cressida/Mark II roughly 2.0×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.6× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 9%. It beat housing (+61%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
VIX Volatility Index leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ VIX Volatility Index, shifted +1mo
Gold (futures) leads by about 13 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 13 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ Gold (futures), shifted +13mo
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 23 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +23mo
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 16 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +16mo
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +3mo
Housing Starts leads by about 17 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.66). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ Housing Starts, shifted +17mo
Silver leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ Silver, shifted +2mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Toyota Cressida/Mark II┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +1mo
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.