Tracking 13 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 55 yr, 28k mi example, ~$75.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 33 scored forecasts: 79% got the direction right, median value error ±253%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 54 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±29%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-08-19
1970 · 0k mi
$40.3K–$148K
$52.5K
✓
2026-08-15
1972 · 62k mi
$31.7K–$116K
$99.0K
✓
2026-08-14
1970 · 28k mi
$33.7K–$124K
$70.0K
✓
2026-06-08
1970 · 9k mi
$34.8K–$128K
$161K
✗
2026-05-05
1970 · 2k mi
$38.0K–$139K
$107K
✓
2026-04-14
1971 · 24k mi
$29.9K–$110K
$59.9K
✓
2026-04-07
1971 · 2k mi
$37.1K–$136K
$80.0K
✓
2025-10-10
1971 · 60k mi
$37.1K–$136K
$73.5K
✓
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-01 → today (12.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $137K━ S&P 500 $533K━ Gold $352K━ Luxury $484K━ Housing $211K
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche 914-6 roughly 1.4×'d your money (a real 4% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 74% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-35%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 18 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 914-6┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +18mo
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 22 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 914-6┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +22mo
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
PCE Price Index leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 914-6┄ PCE Price Index, shifted +12mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Gold (futures) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 914-6┄ Gold (futures), shifted +0mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 914-6┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +2mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
41
Undervaluation
59
Liquidity
55
Speculation Opportunity
68
Depreciation Risk
19
Overvaluation
56
inventory -1%inventory trend slope
asking +21% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
