Ford Mustang (1967-1968)
Flagged undervalued because asking -19% vs historic sold, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 57 yr, 32k mi example, ~$36.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 60% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 144 scored forecasts: 60% got the direction right, median value error ±27%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 694 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±57%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | 1968 · 5k mi | $32.4K–$119K | $21.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-18 | 1968 · 4k mi | $34.0K–$125K | $70.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | 1967 · 25k mi | $20.3K–$74.5K | $70.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-04 | 1967 · 75k mi | $20.0K–$73.2K | $15.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | 1967 · 0k mi | $59.9K–$220K | $319K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-03 | 1968 · 21k mi | $20.8K–$76.2K | $44.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | 1968 | $17.2K–$92.4K | $30.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-28 | 1968 · 44k mi | $20.8K–$76.2K | $28.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1967 · 0k mi | ebay | $47.9K–$260K ($112K) |
| open | 1968 · 100k mi | ebay | $15.7K–$85.2K ($36.6K) |
| open | 1967 · 0k mi | ebay | $47.8K–$260K ($111K) |
| open | 1968 · 11k mi | ebay | $20.3K–$110K ($47.4K) |
| open | 1967 · 16k mi | BaT | $17.5K–$95.0K ($40.8K) |
| open | 1968 · 68k mi | ebay | $15.6K–$84.7K ($36.3K) |
| open | 1968 · 11k mi | ebay | $20.3K–$111K ($47.4K) |
| open | 1968 · 79k mi | BaT | $16.1K–$87.7K ($37.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 53% | Low | 72% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 53% | Low | 60% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 64% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 48% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Russell 2000 (small cap) and 10-Year Treasury Yield, though Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2007
$100K invested 2007-07 → today (19.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 84 | 22 | 32 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 51 | 40 | 56 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 60 | 33 | 13 |
| Datsun 240Z | 49 | 56 | 44 |
| Datsun 280Z | 48 | 45 | 59 |
| Ferrari 308 | 38 | 55 | 45 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 15 |
| Ferrari 328 | 44 | 53 | 51 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$75,995 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=4.2)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.