Ford Mustang (1967-1968)
Flagged undervalued because asking -31% vs historic sold, -25% vs 2-yr avg, and -25% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 57 yr, 32k mi example, ~$38.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 143 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±28%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 671 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±55%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 1967 · 67k mi | $20.4K–$74.3K | $11.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-08 | 1968 · 31k mi | $21.5K–$78.3K | $19.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-07 | 1967 · 4k mi | $36.3K–$132K | $90.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-06 | 1967 · 5k mi | $34.7K–$127K | $78.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-02 | 1967 · 30k mi | $21.3K–$77.8K | $34.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-26 | 1967 · 80k mi | $22.1K–$80.5K | $28.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1967 · 2k mi | $44.3K–$162K | $140K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1968 · 27k mi | $21.8K–$79.5K | $125K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1967 · 1k mi | ebay | $38.6K–$208K ($89.5K) |
| open | 1968 · 4k mi | ebay | $29.2K–$157K ($67.7K) |
| open | 1968 · 11k mi | ebay | $21.8K–$117K ($50.5K) |
| open | 1968 · 11k mi | ebay | $21.5K–$116K ($49.8K) |
| open | 1968 | hagerty | $17.2K–$92.4K ($39.9K) |
| open | 1968 · 30k mi | ebay | $16.9K–$91.0K ($39.2K) |
| open | 1968 · 53k mi | ebay | $16.6K–$89.5K ($38.6K) |
| open | 1967 · 29k mi | ebay | $16.7K–$90.0K ($38.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 72% |
| 12 mo | UP | 47% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | UP | 47% | Low | 64% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2007
$100K invested 2007-07 → today (19.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 4 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.57). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 66 | 43 | 36 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 41 | 45 | 54 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 47 | 56 | 20 |
| Datsun 240Z | 50 | 48 | 28 |
| Datsun 280Z | 38 | 64 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 | 36 | 50 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 16 |
| Ferrari 328 | 55 | 40 | 53 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=3.1)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-5.0)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-50,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=5.4)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-50,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-50,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.