Ford Mustang (1965)
Flagged undervalued because asking -2% vs historic sold, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 59 yr, 30k mi example, ~$35.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 65% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 159 scored forecasts: 65% got the direction right, median value error ±20%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 679 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±35%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 1965 | $15.2K–$82.0K | $31.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-21 | 1965 · 9k mi | $21.4K–$78.5K | $36.9K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | 1965 · 92k mi | $18.2K–$66.9K | $70.9K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-19 | 1965 · 32k mi | $18.8K–$68.8K | $68.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | 1965 · 1k mi | $25.3K–$92.8K | $24.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-15 | 1965 · 8k mi | $22.2K–$81.3K | $64.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | 1965 · 14k mi | $19.2K–$70.5K | $45.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | 1965 · 75k mi | $17.6K–$64.4K | $13.2K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1965 · 0k mi | ebay | $20.3K–$110K ($47.3K) |
| open | 1965 · 45k mi | ebay | $15.5K–$84.5K ($36.2K) |
| open | 1965 · 48k mi | ebay | $15.1K–$82.3K ($35.3K) |
| open | 1965 · 83k mi | ebay | $14.9K–$80.8K ($34.6K) |
| open | 1965 · 57k mi | ebay | $14.3K–$77.8K ($33.4K) |
| open | 1965 · 12k mi | ebay | $16.2K–$88.0K ($37.7K) |
| open | 1965 | ebay | $15.1K–$82.2K ($35.3K) |
| open | 1965 | hagerty | $15.1K–$82.2K ($35.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 61% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 65% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 55% | Low | 67% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2004
$100K invested 2004-08 → today (22.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
PCE Price Index leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.75). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 84 | 22 | 32 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 51 | 40 | 56 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 60 | 33 | 13 |
| Datsun 240Z | 49 | 56 | 44 |
| Datsun 280Z | 48 | 45 | 59 |
| Ferrari 308 | 38 | 55 | 45 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 15 |
| Ferrari 328 | 44 | 53 | 51 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$27,950 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,300 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$15,300 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-6,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.