Lincoln Continental (1961-1969)
Flagged undervalued because asking -8% vs historic sold, sell-through 95%, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 60 yr, 54k mi example, ~$50.8K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 63% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 158 scored forecasts: 63% got the direction right, median value error ±26%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 314 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±41%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 1962 · 61k mi | $28.5K–$104K | $47.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-13 | 1962 · 35k mi | $27.8K–$101K | $42.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-13 | 1967 · 73k mi | $28.2K–$103K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | 1962 · 19k mi | $26.5K–$97.0K | $53.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-10 | 1965 · 40k mi | $28.0K–$102K | $26.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-09 | 1965 · 2k mi | $39.2K–$143K | $76.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-25 | 1964 · 63k mi | $29.0K–$106K | $47.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1966 · 83k mi | $28.3K–$103K | $39.6K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1963 · 61k mi | ebay | $22.0K–$119K ($51.1K) |
| open | 1965 | ebay | $21.9K–$118K ($50.8K) |
| open | 1966 · 43k mi | BaT | $21.7K–$117K ($50.4K) |
| open | 1963 · 61k mi | ebay | $22.0K–$119K ($51.1K) |
| open | 1962 · 12k mi | BaT | $20.3K–$110K ($47.2K) |
| open | 1963 · 61k mi | ebay | $22.6K–$122K ($52.5K) |
| open | 1963 | C&B | $22.4K–$121K ($52.0K) |
| open | 1969 · 16k mi | ebay | $21.7K–$117K ($50.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 67% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 63% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 53% | Low | 62% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 3 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 32% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 2-Year Treasury Yield and Ethereum (USD), though 2-Year Treasury Yield points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2000
$100K invested 2000-01 → today (26.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 8 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 69 | 41 | 55 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 35 | 58 | 55 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 48 | 56 | 14 |
| Datsun 240Z | 41 | 61 | 31 |
| Datsun 280Z | 38 | 63 | 61 |
| Ferrari 308 | 38 | 55 | 51 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 56 | 44 | 20 |
| Ferrari 328 | 56 | 39 | 49 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,550 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.