Toyota Land Cruiser FJ60/FJ62
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 91%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 39 yr, 138k mi example, ~$28.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 51% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 93 scored forecasts: 51% got the direction right, median value error ±23%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 607 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±27%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 1990 · 196k mi | $10.0K–$52.8K | $29.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1984 · 5k mi | $18.9K–$68.8K | $20.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1985 · 129k mi | $15.1K–$55.2K | $26.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-30 | 1986 · 201k mi | $13.4K–$48.8K | $50.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1983 · 245k mi | $12.3K–$44.9K | $35.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | 1984 · 131k mi | $15.2K–$55.6K | $29.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-10 | 1990 · 231k mi | $12.6K–$46.0K | $98.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-10 | 1980 · 100k mi | $15.9K–$57.9K | $13.0K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1980 · 6k mi | ebay | $14.9K–$80.2K ($34.5K) |
| open | 1984 · 242k mi | ebay | $9.8K–$53.0K ($22.8K) |
| open | 1987 | BaT | $12.3K–$66.1K ($28.5K) |
| open | 1984 · 242k mi | ebay | $9.8K–$52.9K ($22.8K) |
| open | 1982 · 0k mi | ebay | $16.6K–$89.4K ($38.5K) |
| open | 1980 · 1k mi | ebay | $15.8K–$85.5K ($36.8K) |
| open | 1985 | BaT | $12.2K–$66.0K ($28.4K) |
| open | 1989 · 134k mi | BaT | $12.1K–$65.1K ($28.0K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 52% |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 51% |
| 24 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 46% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Nasdaq Composite has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 49% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nasdaq Composite and Case-Shiller Home Price, though Case-Shiller Home Price points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-04 → today (12.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.52). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 66 | 43 | 41 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 35 | 55 | 55 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 47 | 54 | 20 |
| Datsun 240Z | 42 | 59 | 28 |
| Datsun 280Z | 41 | 62 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 | 34 | 52 | 47 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 55 | 47 | 21 |
| Ferrari 328 | 55 | 40 | 52 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-9.6)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$23,995 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$21,795 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.