Toyota Land Cruiser FJ60/FJ62
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 93%, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 39 yr, 134k mi example, ~$28.1K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 51% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 95 scored forecasts: 51% got the direction right, median value error ±24%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 629 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±28%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 1984 · 123k mi | $14.9K–$54.8K | $57.1K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | 1984 · 62k mi | $16.3K–$59.9K | $61.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | 1989 · 243k mi | $11.9K–$43.8K | $29.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | 1988 · 78k mi | $15.9K–$58.6K | $33.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-20 | 1988 · 103k mi | $11.6K–$61.2K | $21.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | 1985 · 281k mi | $11.8K–$43.5K | $9.2K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-18 | 1989 · 210k mi | $12.7K–$46.9K | $50.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-15 | 1989 · 223k mi | $12.4K–$45.5K | $36.5K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1980 · 1k mi | ebay | $16.5K–$90.2K ($38.6K) |
| open | 1984 · 204k mi | BaT | $10.3K–$56.3K ($24.1K) |
| open | 1989 · 191k mi | BaT | $10.8K–$58.7K ($25.1K) |
| open | 1980 · 1k mi | ebay | $16.8K–$91.4K ($39.2K) |
| open | 1987 · 172k mi | BaT | $11.4K–$61.8K ($26.5K) |
| open | 1980 · 0k mi | ebay | $16.4K–$89.3K ($38.3K) |
| open | 1980 · 0k mi | ebay | $16.1K–$87.4K ($37.5K) |
| open | 1988 · 229k mi | ebay | $9.8K–$53.1K ($22.8K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 55% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 51% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 49% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Nasdaq Composite has historically led it by about 8 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 48% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nasdaq Composite and Case-Shiller Home Price, though Nasdaq Composite points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2014
$100K invested 2014-04 → today (12.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 85 | 21 | 40 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 51 | 40 | 56 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 50 | 36 | 15 |
| Datsun 240Z | 52 | 54 | 38 |
| Datsun 280Z | 50 | 41 | 54 |
| Ferrari 308 | 39 | 57 | 43 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 53 | 47 | 14 |
| Ferrari 328 | 45 | 53 | 48 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,230 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$14,700 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,230 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$14,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,230 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$14,995 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.