Jaguar Mk II
Flagged undervalued because asking -31% vs historic sold, -42% vs 3-yr trend, and -32% vs 2-yr avg.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 61 yr, 33k mi example, ~$31.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 58% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 210 scored forecasts: 58% got the direction right, median value error ±47%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1962 | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1960 · 67k mi | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1963 | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1967 | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1966 · 22k mi | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1960 | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1963 · 89k mi | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
| open | 1960 | classic | $6.6K–$35.1K ($15.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 69% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 58% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 54% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2003
$100K invested 2003-07 → today (23.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.50). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 66 | 43 | 36 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 41 | 45 | 54 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 47 | 56 | 20 |
| Datsun 240Z | 50 | 48 | 28 |
| Datsun 280Z | 38 | 64 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 | 36 | 50 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 16 |
| Ferrari 328 | 55 | 40 | 53 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-4.7)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=7.4)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.9)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=7.5)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.