Chrysler Imperial
Flagged undervalued because asking -43% vs historic sold, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 72 yr, 23k mi example, ~$11.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 66% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 134 scored forecasts: 66% got the direction right, median value error ±60%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 3 in 10
We replayed 41 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±87%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 3 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1931 · 0k mi | $17.9K–$47.5K | $403K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1993 · 52k mi | $10.0K–$26.7K | $3.1K | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | 1933 · 4k mi | $55.3K–$147K | $313K | ✗ |
| 2026-01-30 | 1967 · 46k mi | $10.0K–$35.6K | $27.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | 1965 | $13.6K–$48.1K | $25.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | 1926 · 66k mi | $6.2K–$22.0K | $23.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-01-19 | 1931 | $13.6K–$48.1K | $590K | ✗ |
| 2025-12-31 | 1954 · 65k mi | $13.9K–$37.1K | $2.1K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1964 · 98k mi | ebay | $4.4K–$15.8K ($8.3K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.0K–$11.0K ($5.8K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.0K–$11.0K ($5.8K) |
| open | 1964 · 98k mi | ebay | $4.5K–$16.3K ($8.6K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.0K–$10.8K ($5.7K) |
| open | 1956 | ebay | $6.2K–$22.3K ($11.7K) |
| open | 1966 · 66k mi | hemmings | $3.0K–$10.8K ($5.7K) |
| open | 1964 · 98k mi | ebay | $4.5K–$16.2K ($8.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 65% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 51% | Low | 66% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 61% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 30% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Personal Savings Rate and Bitcoin (USD), though 10-Year Treasury Yield points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2004
$100K invested 2004-01 → today (22.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 6 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin DB4 | 61 | 48 | 63 |
| Aston Martin DB5 | 16 | 50 | — |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 53 | 38 | 61 |
| Buick Riviera | 60 | 43 | 49 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 49 | 50 | 35 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 56 | 39 | 40 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-4,650 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-5,750 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=9.4)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-29.4)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.