Chrysler Imperial
Flagged undervalued because asking -57% vs historic sold, inventory -0%, and -25% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 75 yr, 23k mi example, ~$13.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 66% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 136 scored forecasts: 66% got the direction right, median value error ±57%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 3 in 10
We replayed 41 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±86%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 3 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1931 · 0k mi | $17.6K–$47.0K | $403K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1993 · 52k mi | $8.7K–$23.2K | $3.1K | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | 1933 · 4k mi | $55.5K–$148K | $313K | ✗ |
| 2026-01-30 | 1967 · 46k mi | $10.0K–$35.6K | $27.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | 1965 | $13.6K–$48.1K | $25.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | 1926 · 66k mi | $6.2K–$22.0K | $23.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-01-19 | 1931 | $13.6K–$48.1K | $590K | ✗ |
| 2025-12-31 | 1954 · 65k mi | $15.3K–$40.8K | $2.1K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1965 · 35k mi | ebay | $7.0K–$25.0K ($13.2K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.4K–$12.2K ($6.5K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.4K–$12.2K ($6.4K) |
| open | 1965 · 35k mi | ebay | $7.0K–$25.4K ($13.3K) |
| open | 1926 · 66k mi | ebay | $3.4K–$12.3K ($6.5K) |
| open | 1937 · 118k mi | classic | $4.4K–$16.0K ($8.4K) |
| open | 1962 · 56k mi | ebay | $4.2K–$15.2K ($8.0K) |
| open | 1937 | classic | $9.8K–$35.6K ($18.7K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 68% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 66% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 52% | Low | 69% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 4 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 26% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and High-Yield Bond Spread, though Personal Savings Rate points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2004
$100K invested 2004-01 → today (22.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 4 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.54). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin Lagonda | 13 | 74 | — |
| Aston Martin Lagonda Volante | 72 | 41 | — |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 63 | 69 | 59 |
| Buick Riviera | 53 | 53 | 44 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 72 | 43 | 37 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 68 | 66 | 42 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.5)
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=9.6)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,000 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.