Tracking 5 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 35 yr, 123k mi example, ~$6.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 16 scored forecasts: 88% got the direction right, median value error ±40%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 39 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±38%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-09-09
1990 · 131k mi
$3.7K–$13.7K
$4.5K
✓
2026-08-31
1988 · 36k mi
$3.8K–$13.9K
$12.0K
✓
2026-08-16
1990 · 90k mi
$3.3K–$12.1K
$32.0K
✗
2026-06-13
1989 · 12k mi
$4.3K–$15.9K
$14.0K
✓
2026-05-18
1991 · 269k mi
$3.5K–$12.9K
$7.0K
✓
2026-04-06
1991 · 123k mi
$4.2K–$15.6K
$13.0K
✓
2026-02-16
1991 · 82k mi
$4.9K–$18.2K
$5.9K
✓
2025-11-06
1991 · 218k mi
$3.7K–$13.6K
$8.6K
✓
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 3 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1990 · 54k mi
classic
$3.3K–$17.8K ($7.7K)
open
1990 · 153k mi
classic
$2.7K–$14.7K ($6.4K)
open
1990 · 153k mi
classic
$2.5K–$13.0K ($5.6K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-06 → today (5.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $89.8K━ S&P 500 $196K━ Gold $238K━ Luxury $65.5K━ Housing $129K₿ Bitcoin $246K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Honda Civic (1988-1991) roughly 0.9×'d your money (a real 27% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 54% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-30%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda Civic (1988-1991)┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +0mo
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 21 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 21 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda Civic (1988-1991)┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +21mo
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 22 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 22 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 3 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Gold (futures) leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda Civic (1988-1991)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +7mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
