Tracking 0 sales in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 5 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly 13 months.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 64 yr, 2k mi example, ~$24.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 8 scored forecasts: 88% got the direction right, median value error ±359%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 1 open auction in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1951 · 25k mi
ebay
$8.9K–$48.0K ($20.7K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2007
$100K invested 2007-03 → today (19.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $84.4K━ S&P 500 $722K━ Gold $636K━ Luxury $857K━ Housing $185K
Lost ground to inflation. The Ford F-Series (1948-1952) roughly 0.8×'d your money (a real 48% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 88% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-54%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.90). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ Real Disposable Income per Capita, shifted +18mo
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ CPI (All Urban Consumers), shifted +16mo
M2 Money Supply leads by about 20 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ M2 Money Supply, shifted +20mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.89). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ PCE Price Index, shifted +16mo
LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) leads by about 14 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.88). Shown shifted forward 14 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ LVMH (luxury proxy ADR), shifted +14mo
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.88). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +0mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 17 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.87). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +17mo
Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.87). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford F-Series (1948-1952)┄ Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY), shifted +7mo
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
