Cadillac Eldorado (1971-1978)
Flagged undervalued because -50% vs 2-yr avg, and -50% vs 3-yr trend.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 49 yr, 36k mi example, ~$20.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 153 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±32%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 382 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±33%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 1978 · 31k mi | $9.6K–$51.8K | $15.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | 1978 · 58k mi | $9.2K–$33.4K | $8.7K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-30 | 1974 · 57k mi | $9.1K–$33.2K | $17.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1976 · 63k mi | $8.8K–$32.0K | $19.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-29 | 1971 · 89k mi | $8.2K–$30.1K | $8.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | 1971 · 67k mi | $8.7K–$31.6K | $33.0K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 1976 · 28k mi | $11.3K–$41.1K | $16.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-23 | 1975 · 74k mi | $8.5K–$31.0K | $15.4K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1975 | ebay | $8.8K–$47.4K ($20.4K) |
| open | 1973 · 12k mi | ebay | $15.4K–$82.9K ($35.7K) |
| open | 1973 · 36k mi | hemmings | $8.9K–$48.1K ($20.7K) |
| open | 1976 · 123k mi | ebay | $7.4K–$39.6K ($17.1K) |
| open | 1976 · 0k mi | ebay | $26.4K–$142K ($61.2K) |
| open | 1973 · 12k mi | ebay | $15.4K–$82.9K ($35.7K) |
| open | 1976 · 20k mi | ebay | $10.8K–$57.9K ($25.0K) |
| open | 1972 · 31k mi | ebay | $9.3K–$49.9K ($21.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 69% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 64% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2001
$100K invested 2001-01 → today (25.6 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 9 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.73). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 66 | 43 | 36 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 41 | 45 | 54 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 47 | 56 | 20 |
| Datsun 240Z | 50 | 48 | 28 |
| Datsun 280Z | 38 | 64 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 | 36 | 50 | 52 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 16 |
| Ferrari 328 | 55 | 40 | 53 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=7.1)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.