Flagged undervalued because -13% vs 2-yr avg, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 4 yr, 12k mi example, ~$95.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2021 · 9k mi
classic
$58.3K–$208K ($110K)
open
2025 · 3k mi
classic
$66.2K–$235K ($125K)
open
2023 · 7k mi
classic
$57.6K–$204K ($108K)
open
2022 · 23k mi
classic
$47.0K–$167K ($88.6K)
open
2025 · 3k mi
classic
$68.0K–$241K ($128K)
open
2025 · 10k mi
classic
$53.0K–$188K ($99.8K)
open
2021 · 32k mi
classic
$44.9K–$159K ($84.5K)
open
2024 · 2k mi
classic
$69.6K–$247K ($131K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
67%
Low
33%
12 mo
DOWN
71%
Low
—
24 mo
DOWN
77%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2023
$100K invested 2023-06 → today (3.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $81.3K━ S&P 500 $182K━ Gold $227K━ Luxury $57.5K━ Housing $109K₿ Bitcoin $255K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Aston Martin DBX roughly 0.8×'d your money (a real 26% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 55% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-26%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 10 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +10mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +3mo
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +18mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +11mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.84). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +11mo
Ethereum (USD) leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Ethereum (USD), shifted +11mo
Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) leads by about 10 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DBX┄ Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY), shifted +10mo
S&P 500 leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-16,098 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$31,093 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.