Aston Martin DB2/DB24/DB Mark III
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 71 yr, 8k mi example, ~$147K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 51% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 68 scored forecasts: 51% got the direction right, median value error ±120%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 6 in 10
We replayed 39 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±44%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 6 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 1954 · 72k mi | $46.0K–$169K | $456K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-15 | 1952 · 0k mi | $41.1K–$151K | $258K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1954 · 4k mi | $52.2K–$191K | $610K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1957 · 91k mi | $44.7K–$164K | $202K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-14 | 1953 · 53k mi | $48.1K–$176K | $121K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | 1953 · 33k mi | $51.4K–$189K | $665K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-18 | 1956 · 0k mi | $40.7K–$149K | $152K | ✗ |
| 2026-03-31 | 1955 · 46k mi | $45.4K–$166K | $155K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1959 | classic | $56.5K–$299K ($130K) |
| open | 1955 | classic | $56.5K–$299K ($130K) |
| open | 1955 | classic | $56.5K–$299K ($130K) |
| open | 1952 | classic | $56.5K–$299K ($130K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 49% | Low | 61% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 51% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 52% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Advance Retail Sales has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2003
$100K invested 2003-07 → today (23.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.41). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 84 | 22 | 32 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 51 | 40 | 56 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 60 | 33 | 13 |
| Datsun 240Z | 49 | 56 | 44 |
| Datsun 280Z | 48 | 45 | 59 |
| Ferrari 308 | 38 | 55 | 45 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 54 | 47 | 15 |
| Ferrari 328 | 44 | 53 | 51 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.4)
- inventory shortage Inventory dropped (robust z=-3.4)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.