Ferrari Daytona

DAYTONA CARSTOCKSPECIALTY

$535K ▼ $126K (−19.1%)12 mo

WATCHPriced above trend — but volatile.

Fair value$535K ($282K–$718K)

Typical ask$568K

Recent sold$641K

12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 6-in-10 up

ConfidenceHigh · 56% calls right

Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($641k).

Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($641k); expect negotiation.

Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.

💰 Pricing your car to sell

Quick sale$282Ksells fast

Fair$641Krecent comps

List$686Kroom to negotiate

Stretch$744Kexceptional

🎯 Buying guide

Strong deal below $282K · Fair $282K–$718K · careful above $715K

Flagged undervalued because asking -11% vs historic sold.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 52 yr, 32k mi example, ~$535K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)

◫ 198 confirmed sales·239 months tracked·since 2006-08·15 active listings

Did our model work? 56% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 16 scored forecasts: 56% got the direction right, median value error ±101%.

━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10

We replayed 59 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±21%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

Sold	Car	Our range	Hammer
2026-05-16	1971 · 38k mi	$312K–$1116K	$2530K	✗
2026-05-16	1971 · 40k mi	$313K–$1118K	$2310K	✗
2026-04-25	1972 · 1k mi	$426K–$1522K	$641K	✓
2026-03-15	1970 · 3k mi	$364K–$1300K	$708K	✓
2026-03-07	1972 · 25k mi	$297K–$1060K	$588K	✓
2026-03-06	1972 · 38k mi	$318K–$1138K	$786K	✓
2026-02-14	1971 · 6k mi	$335K–$1198K	$654K	✓
2026-01-21	1973 · 60k mi	$252K–$900K	$500K	✓

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 6 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

Closes	Car	Source	Our predicted range
open	1972	BaT	$239K–$1266K ($550K)
open	1971 · 91k mi	classic	$259K–$1370K ($596K)
open	1970 · 41k mi	classic	$243K–$1287K ($559K)
open	1972 · 20k mi	classic	$230K–$1217K ($529K)
open	1970 · 53k mi	classic	$227K–$1199K ($521K)
open	1972 · 30k mi	classic	$235K–$1243K ($540K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

Horizon	Direction	Probability	Confidence	Past accuracy
6 mo	DOWN	44%	Low	77%
12 mo	DOWN	41%	Low	56%
24 mo	DOWN	37%	Low	50%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Core CPI (ex food/energy) has historically led it by about 7 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

BECAUSE Core CPI (ex food/energy) rose 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 7-month head start, we expect little change — about −0% (≈ −$710) over the next 7 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation +0.63, 26 months overlap).

If You’d Bought in 2006

$100K invested 2006-08 → today (19.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

━ This car $108K━ S&P 500 $824K━ Gold $726K━ Luxury $1302K━ Housing $179K

Lost ground to inflation. The Ferrari Daytona roughly 1.1×'d your money (a real 34% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 87% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-40%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)

What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 7 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Ferrari Daytona ┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +7mo

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum

Undervaluation

Liquidity

Speculation Opportunity

Depreciation Risk

Overvaluation

+249% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo

+209% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo

asking -11% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread

+200% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo

sale prices +0.5%/mo median sale trend slope

sell-through 97% sell through rate

0% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

new-listing velocity 9% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings15

Median fair value$648,397

Avg deal score62/100

Comparable Markets

Market	Undervaluation	Appreciation	Liquidity
Mercedes-Benz 190SL	35	44	46
BMW 2002 tii	53	41	35
Datsun 240Z	38	54	45
Datsun 280Z	32	56	56
Ferrari 308	46	40	41
Ferrari 308 GT4	41	61	23
Ferrari 328	57	45	33