Tracking 18 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 54 yr, 1k mi example, ~$3.9K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 63 scored forecasts: 56% got the direction right, median value error ±25%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 270 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-08-30
1971 · 0k mi
$2.5K–$9.3K
$5.2K
✓
2026-08-26
1972 · 1k mi
$2.3K–$8.4K
$3.7K
✓
2026-08-10
1970 · 0k mi
$2.5K–$9.3K
$8.6K
✓
2026-08-03
1972 · 0k mi
$2.5K–$9.3K
$3.6K
✓
2026-07-31
1972 · 1k mi
$2.4K–$8.6K
$6.0K
✓
2026-07-24
1970 · 1k mi
$2.4K–$8.9K
$12.1K
✗
2026-07-20
1971 · 1k mi
$2.3K–$8.6K
$3.1K
✓
2026-07-18
1970 · 0k mi
$2.6K–$9.5K
$9.5K
✓
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 4 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1970 · 0k mi
BaT
$1.9K–$10.5K ($4.5K)
open
1972
BaT
$1.7K–$9.0K ($3.9K)
open
1971 · 3k mi
BaT
$1.6K–$8.7K ($3.7K)
open
1975 · 2k mi
classic
$1.9K–$10.1K ($4.4K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. WTI Crude Oil has historically led it by about 1 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE oil prices rose 11%. THEREFORE, given its usual 1-month head start, we lean DOWN — about −1% (≈ −$25) over the next 1 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.49, 75 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-05 → today (13.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $190K━ S&P 500 $590K━ Gold $314K━ Luxury $497K━ Housing $219K
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Honda CT70 roughly 1.9×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.3× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 68% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-13%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment leads by about 23 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.55). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment, shifted +23mo
Ethereum (USD) leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.53). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ Ethereum (USD), shifted +24mo
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.50). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ 30-Year Mortgage Rate, shifted +9mo
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +1mo
Personal Savings Rate leads by about 20 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 20 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ Personal Savings Rate, shifted +20mo
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 23 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ Bitcoin (USD), shifted +23mo
WTI Crude Oil leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.47). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Honda CT70┄ WTI Crude Oil, shifted +24mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
55
Undervaluation
60
Liquidity
68
Speculation Opportunity
58
Depreciation Risk
44
Overvaluation
37
asking -21% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
sell-through 100%sell through rate
inventory -0%inventory trend slope
asking trend +0.0%/momedian asking trend slope
new-listing velocity 13% of activenew listing velocity
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
