Honda CT70
Flagged undervalued because asking -22% vs historic sold, and sell-through 100%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 54 yr, 1k mi example, ~$4.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 56% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 59 scored forecasts: 56% got the direction right, median value error ±26%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 255 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±23%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | 1972 · 1k mi | $2.5K–$9.0K | $3.4K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-27 | 1970 · 2k mi | $2.4K–$8.8K | $5.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-26 | 1970 · 0k mi | $2.6K–$9.7K | $4.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-23 | 1970 · 0k mi | $2.6K–$9.7K | $10.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-19 | 1970 · 0k mi | $2.6K–$9.7K | $4.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-17 | 1970 · 2k mi | $2.4K–$8.8K | $4.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-09 | 1972 · 2k mi | $2.4K–$8.7K | $4.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-04 | 1972 · 0k mi | $2.6K–$9.7K | $2.6K | ✗ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 5 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1974 · 2k mi | BaT | $2.0K–$10.6K ($4.6K) |
| open | 1970 | BaT | $1.9K–$10.4K ($4.5K) |
| open | 1970 · 1k mi | BaT | $2.0K–$10.7K ($4.6K) |
| open | 1969 | BaT | $1.9K–$10.0K ($4.3K) |
| open | 1971 | BaT | $1.9K–$9.9K ($4.3K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 54% | Low | 55% |
| 12 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 56% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 56% | Low | 47% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment has historically led it by about 24 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2015
$100K invested 2015-01 → today (11.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.56). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfa Romeo 105 Sedan | 93 | 93 | 17 |
| Mercedes-Benz 190SL | 38 | 43 | 39 |
| BMW 2002 tii | 46 | 74 | 20 |
| Datsun 240Z | 41 | 56 | 38 |
| Datsun 280Z | 32 | 66 | 60 |
| Ferrari 308 | 38 | 64 | 34 |
| Ferrari 308 GT4 | 51 | 54 | 26 |
| Ferrari 328 | 58 | 46 | 42 |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.