Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011)
Due to a thin data state, this market outlook for the Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011) has low confidence, indicating an overvaluation score of 56.83 and a depreciation risk of 54.15. Near-term probabilities for an 'up' market direction are 0.49 over 6 months and 0.5 over 12 months, both within a volatile regime. A strong leading indicator to monitor is the High-Yield Bond Spread, which shows a correlation of 0.75 with a 19-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 19 yr, 43k mi example, ~$30.4K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 59% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 85 scored forecasts: 59% got the direction right, median value error ±15%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 267 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±23%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2006 · 46k mi | $19.3K–$51.4K | $38.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-12 | 2006 · 34k mi | $21.9K–$58.1K | $30.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-10 | 2005 · 38k mi | $20.9K–$55.6K | $36.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-08 | 2005 · 56k mi | $18.0K–$47.8K | $31.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-03 | 2005 · 87k mi | $13.8K–$36.6K | $20.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-02 | 2008 · 39k mi | $20.7K–$54.9K | $29.3K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-30 | 2005 · 51k mi | $18.6K–$49.5K | $15.3K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-13 | 2005 · 42k mi | $20.1K–$53.4K | $36.3K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2010 · 30k mi | ebay | $18.4K–$67.2K ($35.2K) |
| open | 2008 · 43k mi | ebay | $16.0K–$58.2K ($30.5K) |
| open | 2010 · 30k mi | ebay | $18.4K–$67.2K ($35.2K) |
| open | 2008 · 43k mi | ebay | $15.9K–$58.1K ($30.4K) |
| open | 2007 · 120k mi | ebay | $8.9K–$32.4K ($17.0K) |
| open | 2008 · 57k mi | ebay | $15.4K–$55.5K ($29.3K) |
| open | 2005 · 61k mi | ebay | $15.7K–$57.0K ($29.9K) |
| open | 2008 · 35k mi | classic | $18.1K–$65.3K ($34.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 59% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 66% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 74% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and 2-Year Treasury Yield, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-05 → today (13.4 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin DB4 | 60 | 43 | 63 |
| Aston Martin DB5 | 33 | 43 | — |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 34 | 76 | 58 |
| Buick Riviera | 57 | 50 | 46 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 49 | 49 | 37 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 55 | 40 | 46 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,801 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-12,500 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.4)
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$10,801 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-12,500 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.