Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011)
Due to a thin data state, this market outlook for the Bentley Continental GT (2004-2011) has low confidence, indicating an overvaluation score of 56.83 and a depreciation risk of 54.15. Near-term probabilities for an 'up' market direction are 0.49 over 6 months and 0.5 over 12 months, both within a volatile regime. A strong leading indicator to monitor is the High-Yield Bond Spread, which shows a correlation of 0.75 with a 19-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 18 yr, 43k mi example, ~$31.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 55% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 84 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±19%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 8 in 10
We replayed 256 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±24%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 8 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | 2006 · 57k mi | $18.4K–$49.0K | $17.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-07-06 | 2006 · 48k mi | $19.1K–$50.8K | $22.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | 2005 · 44k mi | $19.1K–$50.8K | $20.5K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-09 | 2005 · 6k mi | $24.7K–$65.8K | $18.8K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-28 | 2010 · 5k mi | $24.3K–$64.7K | $75.5K | ✗ |
| 2026-05-16 | 2004 · 40k mi | $19.0K–$50.5K | $19.6K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-07 | 2008 · 15k mi | $25.3K–$67.3K | $52.0K | ✓ |
| 2026-05-01 | 2007 · 28k mi | $22.1K–$58.8K | $29.9K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2008 · 43k mi | ebay | $16.5K–$59.5K ($31.4K) |
| open | 2008 · 57k mi | ebay | $15.4K–$55.5K ($29.3K) |
| open | 2008 · 43k mi | ebay | $17.0K–$61.2K ($32.2K) |
| open | 2008 · 57k mi | ebay | $16.0K–$57.5K ($30.4K) |
| open | 2007 · 120k mi | ebay | $9.5K–$34.0K ($18.0K) |
| open | 2005 · 61k mi | ebay | $15.7K–$57.0K ($29.9K) |
| open | 2006 · 77k mi | classic | $13.3K–$48.1K ($25.3K) |
| open | 2008 · 35k mi | classic | $18.1K–$65.3K ($34.4K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 51% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 55% |
| 24 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 56% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 18% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Ethereum (USD) and Case-Shiller Home Price, though Ethereum (USD) points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2013
$100K invested 2013-05 → today (13.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin Lagonda | 56 | 45 | 54 |
| Aston Martin Lagonda Volante | 73 | 34 | 54 |
| Aston Martin DB4 | 60 | 66 | 63 |
| Aston Martin DB5 | 23 | 53 | — |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 57 | 57 | 85 |
| Buick Riviera | 49 | 59 | 53 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 70 | 38 | 37 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 59 | 45 | 42 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$8,955 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-8,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-9,699 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$9,023 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-10.8)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.