Tracking 8 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 59 yr, 57k mi example, ~$763K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 75 scored forecasts: 55% got the direction right, median value error ±72%.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 40 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±36%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-07-09
1964 · 64k mi
$343K–$929K
$1350K
✗
2026-07-08
1965 · 44k mi
$336K–$908K
$1062K
✗
2026-05-20
1965 · 63k mi
$354K–$956K
$1276K
✗
2024-12-01
1964 · 12k mi
$396K–$1070K
$782K
✓
2024-11-23
1965 · 63k mi
$341K–$923K
$732K
✓
2024-11-02
1964 · 82k mi
$282K–$763K
$733K
✓
2024-08-30
1964 · 27k mi
$337K–$912K
$864K
✓
2024-08-17
1965 · 51k mi
$328K–$888K
$1160K
✗
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 1 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE credit spreads fell 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 1-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$4,488) over the next 1 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.67, 18 months overlap).
If You’d Bought in 2005
$100K invested 2005-06 → today (21.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $1051K━ S&P 500 $921K━ Gold $936K━ Housing $193K
A genuinely strong investment. The Aston Martin DB5 roughly 10.5×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 6.1× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 14%. It beat housing (+443%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.67). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +1mo
Bitcoin (USD) leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ Bitcoin (USD), shifted +3mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.51). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +2mo
Ethereum (USD) leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ Ethereum (USD), shifted +0mo
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +7mo
Unemployment Rate leads by about 11 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ Unemployment Rate, shifted +11mo
30-Year Mortgage Rate leads by about 7 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.48). Shown shifted forward 7 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ 30-Year Mortgage Rate, shifted +7mo
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.43). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Aston Martin DB5┄ Initial Jobless Claims, shifted +1mo
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
