Tracking 39 sales in the last 90 days — the modeled signal will appear here on the next nightly rebuild.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 65 yr, 15k mi example, ~$71.3K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Building historyNot enough data to chart yet — check back as sales accrue.
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 121 scored forecasts: 87% got the direction right, median value error ±41%.
Track record buildingNot enough graded forecasts yet to show accuracy.
━ actual╱ past predictions (ghosts)
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 7 in 10
We replayed 90 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±44%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 7 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
Sold
Car
Our range
Hammer
2026-09-07
1959 · 0k mi
$36.2K–$133K
$129K
✓
2026-09-05
1959 · 10k mi
$45.7K–$168K
$179K
✗
2026-09-04
1959 · 76k mi
$25.5K–$93.6K
$68.9K
✓
2026-08-23
1960 · 0k mi
$39.8K–$146K
$50.0K
✓
2026-08-03
1959 · 94k mi
$23.4K–$85.9K
$31.0K
✓
2026-07-25
1960 · 21k mi
$39.7K–$146K
$37.0K
✗
2026-06-22
1960 · 70k mi
$34.3K–$126K
$32.5K
✗
2026-05-16
1959 · 1k mi
$40.6K–$149K
$251K
✗
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
1960 · 88k mi
ebay
$16.7K–$90.7K ($38.9K)
open
1960 · 88k mi
ebay
$16.7K–$90.7K ($38.9K)
open
1960 · 88k mi
ebay
$16.5K–$89.1K ($38.3K)
open
1959 · 75k mi
ebay
$20.5K–$111K ($47.7K)
open
1960 · 1k mi
ebay
$30.6K–$166K ($71.2K)
open
1959 · 75k mi
ebay
$23.5K–$127K ($54.7K)
open
1960 · 22k mi
ebay
$27.0K–$146K ($62.7K)
open
1960 · 22k mi
ebay
$27.0K–$146K ($62.8K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2008
$100K invested 2008-03 → today (18.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $145K━ S&P 500 $805K━ Gold $477K━ Luxury $618K━ Housing $201K
Lost ground to inflation. The Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960) roughly 1.5×'d your money (a real 7% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 82% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-28%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.98). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +18mo
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.98). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ Advance Retail Sales, shifted +5mo
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.98). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ CPI (All Urban Consumers), shifted +2mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.98). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ PCE Price Index, shifted +2mo
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.97). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +2mo
S&P 500 leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.97). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ S&P 500, shifted +1mo
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.97). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +0mo
Nasdaq Composite leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.97). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Chevrolet Impala (1959-1960)┄ Nasdaq Composite, shifted +0mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
29
Undervaluation
49
Liquidity
20
Speculation Opportunity
49
Depreciation Risk
72
Overvaluation
85
sell-through 46%sell through rate
asking -8% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
