Tracking 1 sale in the last 90 days. We'll publish a confident 12-month outlook once 4 more sales close — at this market's typical pace, that's roughly ~1.6 years.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 45 yr, 47k mi example, ~$172K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
$100K invested 2014-06 → today (12.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $798K━ S&P 500 $485K━ Gold $338K━ Luxury $485K━ Housing $202K
A genuinely strong investment. The BMW 3.0 CSL roughly 8.0×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 5.7× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 64%. It beat housing (+296%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ Advance Retail Sales, shifted +3mo
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +2mo
Initial Jobless Claims leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.57). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ Initial Jobless Claims, shifted +1mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 3 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.55). Shown shifted forward 3 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), shifted +3mo
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 2 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.55). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ 2-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +2mo
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 19 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.51). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ Russell 2000 (small cap), shifted +19mo
Effective Fed Funds Rate leads by about 1 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.51). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ BMW 3.0 CSL┄ Effective Fed Funds Rate, shifted +1mo
Housing Starts leads by about 17 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.