Porsche 911 GT3 (992)
The outlook for the Porsche 911 GT3 (992) market signals a potential for upward movement over the next 6 to 24 months, with probabilities ranging from 0.56 to 0.67, under a volatile regime. While market scores indicate an overvaluation signal at 52.19 and a depreciation risk of 53.66, the strongest leading indicator is Real Disposable Income per Capita, showing a correlation of 0.83.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 2k mi example, ~$271K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 73% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 30 scored forecasts: 73% got the direction right, median value error ±10%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 339 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±14%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 2023 · 2k mi | $184K–$407K | $255K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | 2022 · 14k mi | $171K–$377K | $205K | ✓ |
| 2026-07-08 | 2022 · 12k mi | $164K–$361K | $225K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-25 | 2023 · 0k mi | $204K–$452K | $368K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-24 | 2022 · 3k mi | $179K–$396K | $292K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 2022 · 0k mi | $204K–$452K | $341K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | 2022 · 2k mi | $183K–$404K | $272K | ✓ |
| 2026-06-15 | 2022 · 2k mi | $185K–$409K | $298K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $159K–$448K ($267K) |
| open | 2022 · 4k mi | ebay | $156K–$440K ($262K) |
| open | 2025 · 1k mi | classic | $178K–$502K ($299K) |
| open | 2025 · 1k mi | classic | $175K–$495K ($294K) |
| open | 2024 · 1k mi | classic | $174K–$491K ($293K) |
| open | 2024 · 1k mi | classic | $169K–$476K ($283K) |
| open | 2022 · 2k mi | classic | $166K–$468K ($278K) |
| open | 2025 · 2k mi | classic | $166K–$467K ($278K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 56% | Low | 53% |
| 12 mo | UP | 61% | Low | 73% |
| 24 mo | UP | 67% | Low | 61% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Gold (futures) has historically led it by about 18 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Gold (futures) and WTI Crude Oil.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-01 → today (4.5 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Real Disposable Income per Capita leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.77). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche 911 (992) Carrera | 51 | 54 | 44 |
| Porsche 911 (992) GTS | 46 | 51 | 39 |
| Porsche 911 (992) Targa | 49 | 49 | 41 |
| Porsche 911 Dakar (992) | 26 | 51 | 48 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo S (992) | 44 | 50 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$65,900 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-120,099 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$60,995 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-120,099 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-6.7)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-120,099 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.