Porsche 911 (992) GTS
The Porsche 911 (992) GTS market signals some overvaluation at 58.37 and a depreciation risk of 57.15, paired with a liquidity score of 40.57. Forecasts suggest a volatile market with probabilities of upward movement ranging from 0.48 to 0.51 across 6 to 24 months. This analysis, with a confidence of 0.935, indicates Ethereum (USD) as the strongest leading indicator, showing a 0.7 correlation with a 1-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 4k mi example, ~$180K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 45% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 20 scored forecasts: 45% got the direction right, median value error ±9%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 33 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±11%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | 2023 · 9k mi | $121K–$268K | $215K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | 2024 · 3k mi | $133K–$294K | $210K | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | 2022 · 11k mi | $120K–$265K | $134K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-13 | 2022 · 29k mi | $119K–$262K | $148K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-28 | 2023 · 14k mi | $110K–$244K | $175K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-20 | 2023 · 9k mi | $110K–$243K | $196K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | 2022 · 8k mi | $112K–$247K | $184K | ✓ |
| 2025-10-29 | 2024 · 1k mi | $119K–$263K | $212K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 48% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 45% |
| 24 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 38% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. US Regular Gas Price has historically led it by about 9 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 50% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 2-Year Treasury Yield and Initial Jobless Claims, though Silver points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-06 → today (4.1 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche 911 (992) Carrera | 51 | 54 | 44 |
| Porsche 911 (992) Targa | 49 | 49 | 41 |
| Porsche 911 Dakar (992) | 26 | 51 | 48 |
| Porsche 911 GT3 (992) | 49 | 47 | 43 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo S (992) | 44 | 50 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$22,950 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-36,328 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$49,900 vs prior
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=7.5)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-36,828 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$16,092 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.