Porsche 911 (992) GTS
Flagged undervalued because asking -18% vs historic sold, and sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 4k mi example, ~$173K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 50% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 18 scored forecasts: 50% got the direction right, median value error ±9%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10
We replayed 34 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±13%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | 2023 · 9k mi | $112K–$270K | $215K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | 2024 · 3k mi | $123K–$297K | $210K | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | 2022 · 11k mi | $112K–$270K | $134K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-28 | 2023 · 14k mi | $102K–$247K | $175K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-20 | 2023 · 9k mi | $102K–$246K | $196K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | 2022 · 8k mi | $104K–$250K | $184K | ✓ |
| 2025-10-29 | 2024 · 1k mi | $110K–$266K | $212K | ✓ |
| 2025-10-09 | 2023 · 8k mi | $97.5K–$235K | $200K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 49% | Low | 54% |
| 12 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 50% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 33% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Russell 2000 (small cap) has historically led it by about 6 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-06 → today (4.0 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Russell 2000 (small cap) leads by about 6 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.64). Shown shifted forward 6 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche 911 (992) Carrera | 58 | 51 | 45 |
| Porsche 911 (992) Targa | 58 | 44 | 40 |
| Porsche 911 Dakar (992) | 50 | 53 | 52 |
| Porsche 911 GT3 (992) | 54 | 48 | 45 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo S (992) | 49 | 52 | 50 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$22,950 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$22,950 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$22,950 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$49,900 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$45,116 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.