Porsche 911 (992) GTS
The market for the Porsche 911 (992) GTS currently indicates a depreciation risk of 58.37 and a liquidity score of 32.09, with appreciation momentum at 37.98. Forecasts suggest a volatile regime, with probabilities for an upward direction at 0.5 over 6 months, 0.52 over 12 months, and 0.55 over 24 months. Ethereum (USD) is noted as the strongest leading indicator, showing a 0.7 correlation and typically leading by 1 month.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 4k mi example, ~$179K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 61% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 23 scored forecasts: 61% got the direction right, median value error ±9%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 35 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±12%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | 2023 · 9k mi | $120K–$268K | $215K | ✓ |
| 2026-03-06 | 2024 · 3k mi | $134K–$299K | $210K | ✓ |
| 2026-02-23 | 2022 · 11k mi | $118K–$263K | $134K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-13 | 2022 · 29k mi | $118K–$263K | $148K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-28 | 2023 · 14k mi | $109K–$243K | $175K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-20 | 2023 · 9k mi | $109K–$242K | $196K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | 2022 · 8k mi | $111K–$247K | $184K | ✓ |
| 2025-10-29 | 2024 · 1k mi | $121K–$270K | $212K | ✓ |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 50% | Low | 48% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 61% |
| 24 mo | UP | 55% | Low | 64% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 10Y-2Y Yield Spread has historically led it by about 23 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (low conviction — 1% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 10Y-2Y Yield Spread and Ethereum (USD), though 10Y-2Y Yield Spread points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2022
$100K invested 2022-06 → today (4.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Trade-Weighted Dollar Index leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche 911 (992) Carrera | 41 | 42 | 40 |
| Porsche 911 (992) Targa | 37 | 46 | 43 |
| Porsche 911 Dakar (992) | 12 | 69 | 36 |
| Porsche 911 GT3 (992) | 45 | 53 | 43 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo S (992) | 39 | 52 | 40 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$33,400 vs prior
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=17.9)
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$33,400 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- inventory spike Inventory spiked (robust z=17.9)
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.