Flagged undervalued because -68% vs 2-yr avg, -66% vs 3-yr trend, and sell-through 99%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 23 yr, 50k mi example, ~$34.2K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 94 confirmed sales·12 months tracked·since 2025-07·285 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2004 · 38k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 2k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 18k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 69k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 4k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 8k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2003 · 85k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
open
2004 · 30k mi
classic
$16.9K–$71.8K ($34.9K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
DOWN
54%
Moderate
—
12 mo
DOWN
53%
Moderate
—
24 mo
DOWN
52%
Moderate
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and Housing Starts.
Trend and leading indicators agree — both point down. Higher-conviction read.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2025
$100K invested 2025-07 → today (0.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $202K━ S&P 500 $121K━ Gold $138K━ Luxury $106K━ Housing $99.7K₿ Bitcoin $55.2K (off-scale)
A solid investment that beat the market. The Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge SVT Cobra Terminator roughly 2.0×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 2.0× gain). It actually BEAT the S&P 500 by about 67%. It beat housing (+103%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.72). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge SVT Cobra Terminator┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +0mo
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.65). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 10 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.63). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 11 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.62). Shown shifted forward 11 months so its turns line up with the market's.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 5 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 24 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge SVT Cobra Terminator┄ Core CPI (ex food/energy), shifted +24mo
PCE Price Index leads by about 1 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 1 months so its turns line up with the market's.
2-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.61). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,500 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,500 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,500 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$11,500 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$13,880 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.