Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge Cobra
Showing appreciation momentum: sale prices +2.4%/mo, and asking trend +0.0%/mo.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 16 yr, 50k mi example, ~$19.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 56% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 39 scored forecasts: 56% got the direction right, median value error ±11%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 1996 · 3k mi | ebay | $11.7K–$33.3K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1999 · 9k mi | ebay | $11.7K–$33.1K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1994 · 0k mi | ebay | $11.7K–$33.1K ($19.7K) |
| open | 1994 · 0k mi | ebay | $12.5K–$35.5K ($21.1K) |
| open | 1994 · 0k mi | ebay | $12.5K–$35.5K ($21.1K) |
| open | 1994 · 0k mi | ebay | $11.6K–$32.7K ($19.5K) |
| open | 2003 · 0k mi | classic | $11.6K–$32.7K ($19.5K) |
| open | 2000 · 0k mi | classic | $12.2K–$34.6K ($20.6K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 51% | Low | 60% |
| 12 mo | UP | 52% | Low | 56% |
| 24 mo | UP | 53% | Low | 52% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. High-Yield Bond Spread has historically led it by about 5 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 5 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.71). Shown shifted forward 5 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge GT | 50 | 43 | 43 |
| Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge Mach 1 | 23 | 62 | 44 |
| Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge SVT Cobra Terminator | 58 | 30 | 49 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,000 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=17.5)
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$3,100 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,972 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.