Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge GT

MUSTANG SN95 GT CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$11.5K ▲ $281 (+2.5%)12 mo
BUYER ADVANTAGEAsks running above recent sales — but volatile.
Fair value$11.5K ($10.1K–$12.9K)
Typical ask$14.0K
Recent sold$10.6K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh · 65% calls right
Buyer: Negotiate from recent sold comps ($11k), not asking prices ($14k).
Seller: Asks are aggressive vs sold — strong/low-mile cars can ask high, but average cars may sit.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$9.9Ksells fast
Fair$10.6Krecent comps
List$11.4Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$14.4Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $10.1K · Fair $10.1K–$12.9K · careful above $16.6K

Flagged undervalued because asking -15% vs historic sold.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 25 yr, 47k mi example, ~$11.5K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2012-03 2026-06 $26.4K $1.2K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 583 confirmed sales·172 months tracked·since 2012-03·49 active listings

Did our model work? 65% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 37 scored forecasts: 65% got the direction right, median value error ±13%.

2021-03 2026-06 $15.8K $6.6K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10

We replayed 291 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±19%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-27 2003 · 28k mi $8.5K–$20.4K $16.0K
2026-05-16 1995 · 36k mi $7.5K–$18.2K $18.7K
2026-05-09 1999 · 34k mi $7.7K–$18.7K $13.3K
2026-05-08 2002 · 54k mi $6.6K–$15.8K $8.9K
2026-05-04 2000 · 99k mi $5.2K–$12.5K $6.8K
2026-05-03 2004 · 2k mi $12.1K–$29.2K $24.0K
2026-04-21 2004 · 55k mi $6.3K–$15.3K $16.5K
2026-04-16 2002 · 17k mi $9.5K–$23.0K $18.7K

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2012-03 now +24mo $26.1K $3.7K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo DOWN 52% Low 63%
12 mo DOWN 51% Low 65%
24 mo DOWN 50% Low 52%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Lead Indicator Forecast

Some indicators move before this market does. Ethereum (USD) has historically led it by about 12 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.

$11.6K now +12mo 2012-03 $12.4K $5.7K
BECAUSE Ethereum (USD) fell 33%. THEREFORE, given its usual 12-month head start, we lean UP — about +1% (≈ +$107) over the next 12 months. Confidence: Moderate (correlation -0.52, 40 months overlap).

Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal

Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 54% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by VIX Volatility Index and Ethereum (USD), though LVMH (luxury proxy ADR) points the other way.

⚠ The price trend and leading indicators disagree — momentum may be running ahead of the fundamentals.
now +12mo (indicators) $14.7K $5.7K

Are the indicators agreeing?

Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.

VIX Volatility Index+0.8Ethereum (USD)+0.4Housing Starts+0.2U. Michigan Consumer+1.1LVMH (luxury proxy A-0.4M2 Money Supply+1.6Trade-Weighted Dolla+1.5PCE Price Index-0.1 ← bearish bullish →

If You’d Bought in 2012

$100K invested 2012-03 → today (14.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$113K$691K$272K$629K$243K 2012 2026 971 100
━ This car $113K━ S&P 500 $691K━ Gold $272K━ Luxury $629K━ Housing $243K
Lost ground to inflation. The Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge GT roughly 1.1×'d your money (a real 22% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 84% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-53%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

Ethereum (USD) leads by about 12 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.52). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge GT ┄ Ethereum (USD), shifted +12mo
2018-09 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
49
Undervaluation
42
Liquidity
32
Speculation Opportunity
44
Depreciation Risk
61
Overvaluation
52
sell-through 90% sell through rate
asking -15% vs historic sold asking vs historic spread
+18% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
+15% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices +0.5%/mo median sale trend slope
26% of listings cutting price price drop frequency
new-listing velocity 1% of active new listing velocity

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings49
Median fair value$10,107
Avg deal score53/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge Cobra 363531
Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge Mach 1 186740
Ford Mustang SN95/New Edge SVT Cobra Terminator 603550

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.