Land Rover Range Rover Sport (L320)
Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, +6% vs 3-yr trend, and inventory -0%.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 13 yr, 72k mi example, ~$10.7K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 53% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 32 scored forecasts: 53% got the direction right, median value error ±13%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 240 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±17%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly high on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 2011 · 110k mi | $6.3K–$16.9K | $7.7K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-10 | 2012 · 83k mi | $8.1K–$21.7K | $14.8K | ✓ |
| 2026-01-05 | 2013 · 115k mi | $6.1K–$16.1K | $14.3K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-28 | 2013 · 28k mi | $12.1K–$32.2K | $28.8K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-08 | 2012 · 71k mi | $9.1K–$24.3K | $17.3K | ✓ |
| 2025-12-05 | 2013 · 36k mi | $11.9K–$31.7K | $15.5K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-30 | 2010 · 98k mi | $7.3K–$19.5K | $8.2K | ✓ |
| 2025-11-28 | 2013 · 84k mi | $8.2K–$21.9K | $9.9K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2011 · 73k mi | ebay | $5.5K–$20.0K ($10.5K) |
| open | 2011 · 73k mi | ebay | $5.6K–$20.1K ($10.6K) |
| open | 2011 · 73k mi | ebay | $5.6K–$20.0K ($10.6K) |
| open | 2011 · 73k mi | ebay | $5.6K–$20.3K ($10.7K) |
| open | 2011 · 73k mi | ebay | $5.8K–$20.8K ($11.0K) |
| open | 2013 · 120k mi | classic | $3.7K–$13.3K ($7.0K) |
| open | 2009 · 127k mi | ebay | $3.5K–$12.4K ($6.6K) |
| open | 2012 · 74k mi | classic | $5.6K–$19.8K ($10.5K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | DOWN | 60% | Low | 58% |
| 12 mo | DOWN | 61% | Low | 53% |
| 24 mo | DOWN | 64% | Low | 80% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-06 → today (5.3 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 9 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.76). Shown shifted forward 9 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin DB4 | 58 | 42 | 64 |
| Aston Martin DB5 | 17 | 52 | — |
| Bentley Continental (S1, S2, S3) | 53 | 37 | 61 |
| Buick Riviera | 58 | 47 | 48 |
| Mercedes-Benz CL-Class | 49 | 49 | 37 |
| Mercedes-Benz CLK-Class | 56 | 35 | 45 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$5,160 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,995 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,001 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,001 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.