Dodge Charger (2006-2023) Daytona
Given the thin data, this outlook for the Dodge Charger Daytona market is a low-confidence read. The market currently shows low appreciation momentum at 28.69 and moderate depreciation risk at 66.28, with liquidity around 41.19. Forecasts suggest a potential 'up' direction over the next 6 to 24 months, with probabilities between 0.41 and 0.44, indicating a volatile regime; M2 Money Supply, with a correlation of -0.85, is noted as a strong leading indicator.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 2 yr, 0k mi example, ~$51.0K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 19% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 16 scored forecasts: 19% got the direction right, median value error ±227%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 6 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $22.6K–$107K ($49.2K) |
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $22.9K–$108K ($49.8K) |
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $22.0K–$101K ($47.2K) |
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $23.1K–$93.4K ($46.4K) |
| open | 2023 · 3k mi | ebay | $19.2K–$81.5K ($39.6K) |
| open | 2006 · 53k mi | classic | $13.2K–$56.1K ($27.2K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | UP | 44% | Low | 36% |
| 12 mo | UP | 43% | Low | 19% |
| 24 mo | UP | 41% | Low | 0% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. Core CPI (ex food/energy) has historically led it by about 12 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling lower over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 100% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) and Core CPI (ex food/energy).
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-12 → today (4.8 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
M2 Money Supply leads by about 0 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.85). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) R/T 392 | 24 | 18 | 49 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) Hellcat | 27 | 42 | 42 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) Hellcat Redeye | 18 | 43 | 40 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) R/T | 44 | 41 | 37 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) Scat Pack | 33 | 31 | 34 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) SRT | 50 | 37 | 28 |
| Dodge Charger (2006-2023) Widebody | 30 | 45 | 43 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.2)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-2,695 vs prior
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$4,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- price jump Median asking moved sharply (z=-4.8)
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-3,325 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.