Blended value of a standard 18 yr, 33k mi example, ~$90.6K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 273 confirmed sales·8 months tracked·since 2025-11·321 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2007
BaT
$50.6K–$162K ($90.6K)
open
2007 · 45k mi
classic
$48.0K–$154K ($85.9K)
open
2007 · 36k mi
classic
$61.9K–$199K ($111K)
open
2007 · 76k mi
classic
$51.3K–$165K ($92.0K)
open
2008 · 8k mi
classic
$73.6K–$236K ($132K)
open
2007 · 14k mi
classic
$69.6K–$224K ($125K)
open
2008 · 22k mi
classic
$66.3K–$213K ($119K)
open
2009 · 156k mi
classic
$41.6K–$134K ($74.6K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
55%
Low
—
12 mo
UP
60%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
65%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Lead Indicator Forecast
Some indicators move before this market does. 10-Year Treasury Yield has historically led it by about 18 months — so its recent move implies where prices head next (dashed). The solid green line is actual value through today; the shaded path is what the lead implies.
BECAUSE the 10-year Treasury yield fell 2%. THEREFORE, given its usual 18-month head start, we expect little change — about +0% (≈ +$302) over the next 18 months. Confidence: High (correlation -0.58, 50 months overlap).
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 77% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 10-Year Treasury Yield and Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs), though VIX Volatility Index points the other way.
Trend and leading indicators agree — both point up. Higher-conviction read.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $152K━ S&P 500 $210K━ Gold $266K━ Luxury $99.5K━ Housing $135K₿ Bitcoin $117K (off-scale)
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Porsche 911 Turbo (997) roughly 1.5×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.2× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 28% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It beat housing (+13%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 18 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.58). Shown shifted forward 18 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 16 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.49). Shown shifted forward 16 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 19 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.47). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
US Regular Gas Price leads by about 24 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.47). Shown shifted forward 24 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 Turbo (997)┄ US Regular Gas Price, shifted +24mo
High-Yield Bond Spread leads by about 4 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.46). Shown shifted forward 4 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 Turbo (997)┄ High-Yield Bond Spread, shifted +4mo
Gold (futures) leads by about 19 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.46). Shown shifted forward 19 months so its turns line up with the market's.
VIX Volatility Index leads by about 23 months (moves against this market, correlation 0.45). Shown shifted forward 23 months so its turns line up with the market's.
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$36,953 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$40,495 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-30,000 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$40,495 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-30,000 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.