Blended value of a standard 17 yr, 20k mi example, ~$179K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
◫ 208 confirmed sales·10 months tracked·since 2025-09·92 active listings
Auction Scorecard live
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
Closes
Car
Source
Our predicted range
open
2007 · 40k mi
classic
$136K–$437K ($244K)
open
2010 · 12k mi
classic
$178K–$572K ($319K)
open
2007 · 26k mi
classic
$145K–$467K ($260K)
open
2011 · 13k mi
classic
$175K–$562K ($314K)
open
2011 · 3k mi
classic
$203K–$650K ($363K)
open
2010 · 59k mi
classic
$133K–$426K ($238K)
open
2008 · 13k mi
classic
$175K–$561K ($313K)
open
2011 · 9k mi
classic
$185K–$593K ($331K)
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
Horizon
Direction
Probability
Confidence
Past accuracy
6 mo
UP
55%
Low
—
12 mo
UP
60%
Low
—
24 mo
UP
65%
Low
—
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (high conviction — 76% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by Silver and Effective Fed Funds Rate, though VIX Volatility Index points the other way.
Trend and leading indicators agree — both point up. Higher-conviction read.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2021
$100K invested 2021-03 → today (5.2 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
━ This car $150K━ S&P 500 $210K━ Gold $266K━ Luxury $99.5K━ Housing $135K₿ Bitcoin $117K (off-scale)
Solid store of value, but lagged the stock market. The Porsche 911 GT3 (997) roughly 1.5×'d your money (a real, inflation-adjusted 1.2× gain). It LAGGED the stock market by about 29% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It beat housing (+11%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
Gold (futures) leads by about 0 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 0 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Case-Shiller National Home Price leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.83). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 GT3 (997)┄ Case-Shiller National Home Price, shifted +17mo
Advance Retail Sales leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.82). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
PCE Price Index leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Nonfarm Payrolls (jobs) leads by about 8 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.81). Shown shifted forward 8 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Core CPI (ex food/energy) leads by about 17 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 17 months so its turns line up with the market's.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 10 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.80). Shown shifted forward 10 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Dow Jones Industrial leads by about 2 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.79). Shown shifted forward 2 months so its turns line up with the market's.
━ Porsche 911 GT3 (997)┄ Dow Jones Industrial, shifted +2mo
Why We Think This
Appreciation Momentum
78
Undervaluation
25
Liquidity
42
Speculation Opportunity
53
Depreciation Risk
23
Overvaluation
76
asking +53% vs historic soldasking vs historic spread
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$79,900 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-63,493 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-198,893 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$94,950 vs prior
vin returned higher VIN relisted +$79,900 vs prior
vin returned lower VIN relisted $-198,893 vs prior
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.