Porsche 911 GTS (991)

991 911 GTS CARSTOCKSPECIALTY
$147K ▲ $20.5K (+16.2%)12 mo
WATCHMixed signals — but volatile.
Fair value$147K ($129K–$164K)
Typical ask$142K
Recent sold$156K
12-mo outlookRoughly flat · 5-in-10 up
ConfidenceHigh · 85% calls right
Buyer: Anchor offers to recent sold comps ($156k).
Seller: Price near recent sold comps ($156k); expect negotiation.
Watcher: Volatile — wait for a clearer trend before acting.
💰 Pricing your car to sell
Quick sale$129Ksells fast
Fair$156Krecent comps
List$167Kroom to negotiate
Stretch$181Kexceptional
🎯 Buying guide
Strong deal below $129K · Fair $129K–$164K · careful above $169K

Flagged undervalued because sell-through 100%, and -8% vs 2-yr avg.

What It's Actually Worth

Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 11k mi example, ~$147K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.

2021-10 2026-06 $175K $84.5K
━ blended true value ● confirmed auction sales (dot size = volume)
◫ 64 confirmed sales·57 months tracked·since 2021-10·347 active listings

Did our model work? 85% direction calls right

Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 13 scored forecasts: 85% got the direction right, median value error ±15%.

2021-03 2026-06 $236K $119K
━ actual ╱ past predictions (ghosts)

Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Auction Scorecard gavel in range 10 in 10

We replayed 56 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±7%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 10 in 10 of the time.

SoldCarOur rangeHammer
2026-05-27 2019 · 40k mi $89.8K–$217K $139K
2026-05-18 2019 · 14k mi $95.9K–$231K $147K
2026-05-14 2018 · 21k mi $92.3K–$223K $178K
2026-05-04 2019 · 30k mi $91.7K–$221K $134K
2026-04-25 2019 · 8k mi $105K–$253K $185K
2026-04-25 2017 · 9k mi $87.7K–$282K $148K
2026-04-25 2017 · 9k mi $103K–$248K $148K
2026-04-22 2017 · 9k mi $103K–$248K $156K

Live now — calling it before the gavel

We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.

ClosesCarSourceOur predicted range
open 2017 · 27k mi classic $79.2K–$254K ($142K)
open 2015 · 7k mi classic $91.7K–$294K ($164K)
open 2018 · 16k mi classic $81.5K–$262K ($146K)
open 2016 · 23k mi classic $79.1K–$254K ($142K)
open 2018 · 34k mi classic $78.6K–$252K ($141K)
open 2016 · 40k mi classic $77.1K–$247K ($138K)
open 2016 · 57k mi classic $73.8K–$237K ($132K)
open 2019 · 21k mi classic $79.3K–$255K ($142K)

No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

Where We Think It's Headed

Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).

2021-10 now +24mo $248K $94.5K
HorizonDirectionProbabilityConfidencePast accuracy
6 mo UP 47% Moderate 53%
12 mo UP 50% Moderate 85%
24 mo UP 52% Moderate 0%

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.

If You’d Bought in 2021

$100K invested 2021-10 → today (4.7 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).

$102K$180K$252K$84.1K$121K 2021 2026 293 100
━ This car $102K━ S&P 500 $180K━ Gold $252K━ Luxury $84.1K━ Housing $121K₿ Bitcoin $109K (off-scale)
Lost ground to inflation. The Porsche 911 GTS (991) roughly 1.0×'d your money (a real 15% LOSS to inflation). It LAGGED the stock market by about 43% — the same money in the S&P 500 would be larger. It trailed housing (-16%). (Price only — a real round-trip also loses ~10–20% to buy/sell fees and carrying costs.)
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What This Market Follows

Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.

10-Year Treasury Yield leads by about 12 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.69). Shown shifted forward 12 months so its turns line up with the market's.

━ Porsche 911 GTS (991) ┄ 10-Year Treasury Yield, shifted +12mo
2021-10 2026-06

Why We Think This

Appreciation Momentum
51
Undervaluation
53
Liquidity
52
Speculation Opportunity
52
Depreciation Risk
44
Overvaluation
48
sell-through 100% sell through rate
-6% vs 3-yr trend pct vs trailing 36mo
-8% vs 2-yr avg pct vs trailing 24mo
-9% vs 12-mo avg pct vs trailing 12mo
sale prices -0.1%/mo median sale trend slope
24% relisted listing reappearance rate
6% of listings cutting price price drop frequency

Current Inventory Snapshot

Active priced listings347
Median fair value$125,422
Avg deal score51/100

Comparable Markets

MarketUndervaluationAppreciationLiquidity
Porsche 911 GT2 RS (991) 306653
Porsche 911 GT3 (991) 564652
Porsche 911 Turbo (991) 505050

Recent Signals & Alerts

Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.