Porsche 911 GT3 (991)
The Porsche 911 GT3 (991) market carries a high confidence of 0.935, currently signaling appreciation momentum at 59.79 despite an overvaluation score of 58.79. A flat trend is indicated with 0.5 probability for the next 6 months, shifting to an upward trend with 0.62 probability for 12 months and 0.68 probability for 24 months, with all horizons operating within a volatile regime. CPI (All Urban Consumers) is the strongest leading indicator, showing a 0.93 correlation with a 15-month lead.
What It's Actually Worth
Blended value of a standard 7 yr, 8k mi example, ~$174K now. The green line weighs confirmed auction sales most heavily (the amber dots — what cars actually hammered for), blends in fast-selling "just-missed" listings, and lightly smooths out month-to-month composition noise.
Did our model work? 78% direction calls right
Each faint amber line is a forecast we would have made at that point in the past (12-mo horizon), drawn against what actually happened (blue). Over 51 scored forecasts: 78% got the direction right, median value error ±11%.
Walk-forward: each ghost uses only data available at that date — no hindsight. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Auction Scorecard gavel in range 9 in 10
We replayed 556 past auctions in this market — predicting each hammer price from market data before the sale (no hindsight). Typical miss: ±15%; the gavel landed inside our predicted range 9 in 10 of the time, and we lean slightly low on average.
| Sold | Car | Our range | Hammer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 2016 · 2k mi | $160K–$358K | $255K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-24 | 2019 · 36k mi | $91.6K–$205K | $209K | ✗ |
| 2026-09-19 | 2016 · 2k mi | $159K–$354K | $235K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-15 | 2015 · 26k mi | $107K–$240K | $123K | ✓ |
| 2026-09-05 | 2016 · 7k mi | $140K–$314K | $259K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-26 | 2016 · 19k mi | $121K–$271K | $306K | ✗ |
| 2026-08-25 | 2018 · 4k mi | $157K–$351K | $222K | ✓ |
| 2026-08-15 | 2016 · 6k mi | $148K–$330K | $264K | ✓ |
Live now — calling it before the gavel
We're currently tracking 8 open auctions in this market. Here's our predicted hammer range for each — check back after they close.
| Closes | Car | Source | Our predicted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| open | 2018 · 4k mi | ebay | $129K–$371K ($219K) |
| open | 2015 · 20k mi | classic | $94.6K–$266K ($159K) |
| open | 2016 · 0k mi | classic | $140K–$449K ($251K) |
| open | 2015 · 27k mi | classic | $92.4K–$297K ($166K) |
| open | 2015 · 8k mi | classic | $120K–$386K ($216K) |
| open | 2015 · 20k mi | classic | $105K–$336K ($188K) |
| open | 2015 · 20k mi | classic | $105K–$336K ($187K) |
| open | 2016 · 21k mi | classic | $104K–$332K ($186K) |
No-lookahead: predictions are made before each auction closes; the scorecard grades confirmed sold auctions only (no-sales excluded). A modeled estimate, not a guarantee. Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Where We Think It's Headed
Probability and range, not a single number. Wider = less certain (not bigger gains).
| Horizon | Direction | Probability | Confidence | Past accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 mo | FLAT | 50% | Low | 56% |
| 12 mo | UP | 62% | Low | 78% |
| 24 mo | UP | 68% | Low | 95% |
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.
Crystal Ball — What Leading Indicators Signal
Distinct from the trend forecast above: this blends all 8 leading indicators (each at its own lead time, de-duplicated so correlated ones don't double-count) into one signal. Leading indicators are collectively signaling higher over the next ~12 months (moderate conviction — 52% of weighted drivers agree), driven mainly by 2-Year Treasury Yield and Gold (futures), though Advance Retail Sales points the other way.
Are the indicators agreeing?
Each bar is one driver's current push; longer = more weight. All one side = high conviction; split = low.
If You’d Bought in 2019
$100K invested 2019-11 → today (6.9 yrs), this car vs where else you could've put the money. Rebased to 100 at the start; the dashed line is inflation (break-even).
What This Market Follows
Specialty-car prices don't move in a vacuum. These economic indicators have historically led this market — tap one to see it shifted forward by its lead time, overlaid on the value line.
CPI (All Urban Consumers) leads by about 15 months (moves with this market, correlation 0.93). Shown shifted forward 15 months so its turns line up with the market's.
Why We Think This
Current Inventory Snapshot
Comparable Markets
| Market | Undervaluation | Appreciation | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche 911 GT2 RS (991) | 9 | 73 | 40 |
| Porsche 911 GTS (991) | 58 | 57 | 50 |
| Porsche 911 Turbo (991) | 55 | 58 | 49 |
Recent Signals & Alerts
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$76,499 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-56,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
- vin returned higher VIN relisted +$76,499 vs prior
- vin returned lower VIN relisted $-56,000 vs prior
- undisclosed title change VIN previously reported non-clean now listed clean/undisclosed
Data-backed market intelligence, not a guaranteed prediction. Figures are modeled estimates from asking prices, sold comps, and public economic indicators; they can be wrong. Not financial advice.